KalshiFechadoVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatório2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoEste mercado está fechado e aguardando uma resolução confirmada.
Aguardando resolução verificada
A CoinRithm aguarda uma liquidação confirmada pelo provedor antes de tratar este mercado como resolvido.
Aviso de qualidade dos dadosDados desatualizados
Dados de 21 de ago. de 2026, 19:10 UTC · política pm-quality-3
Probabilidade implícita atual
4.4% or above 99%+68.0ptLíder entre 15 opções
Qualidade do mercado
34 / 100
Baixa qualidadeVolume 24h
4,9 mil €
Liquidez
4,9 mil €
Liquidez médiaSpread
19.0 pt
Spread amploDados do mercado
Atualizado há 1 hora
Atrasado14/08/26, 19:3021/08/26, 19:30
Tendências
99%
99%
99%
99%
99%
99%
99%
98%
97%
97%
94%
91%
90%
81%
16%
Ativos Sensíveis ao Macro
Regras
If the par yield for the 5Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.15% on Aug 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:U.S. Department of the Treasury
- The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Aug 21, 2026, or one week following Aug 21, 2026.
- If the par yield for the 5Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.17% on Aug 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the par yield for the 5Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.19% on Aug 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the par yield for the 5Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.21% on Aug 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the par yield for the 5Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.23% on Aug 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Mercados abertos
Bonds & TreasuriesKALSHISOFR at end of Q4 2026
- Above 3.00%99%
- Above 3.25%98%
- Above 3.75%+15.0pt76%
+5 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 10,9 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 6 mil
KALSHI30Y US Treasury yield on Aug 21, 2026?
- 5.1% or above99%
- 5.12% or above99%
- 5.2% or above+19.0pt99%
+12 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 12 mil
- Volume 24h
KALSHI10Y US Treasury yield on Aug 21, 2026?
- 4.55% or above99%
- 4.65% or above+18.0pt99%
- 4.63% or above+16.0pt99%
+12 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 9,6 mil
KALSHI2Y US Treasury yield on Aug 21, 2026?
- 4.11% or above99%
- 4.15% or above99%
- 4.13% or above99%
+12 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 3,1 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 1,7 mil
KALSHIU.S. federal deficit-to-GDP below 5% for FY2026?
- No94%
- Yes+1.0pt6%
- Volume total
- € 61,2 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 1,6 mil
KALSHIUST par yield curve (2Y) at end of Q3 2026
- Above 3.30%99%
- Above 3.60%95%
- Above 3.20%89%
+13 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 12,2 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 845,5
- 7Y US Treasury yield on Aug 21, 2026?
- 30Y US Treasury yield on Aug 31, 2026?
- Will the US National Debt exceed $41 Trillion by the end of FY 2026?
- How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
- 10Y US Treasury yield at year-end?
- Peak US National Debt before 2027?
- US credit rating downgrade in 2026?
- 2Y US Treasury yield on Aug 31, 2026?
- Bank of Canada rate on December 31, 2026
- Treasury spread 10Y-2Y by Dec 31, 2026
- Japan 10Y Bond Yield: End of 2026
Criptos relacionadas
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de 5Y US Treasury yield on Aug 21, 2026??
- A Kalshi cota 4.4% or above em 99% em 21 de agosto de 2026.
- Quando 5Y US Treasury yield on Aug 21, 2026? é resolvido?
- 5Y US Treasury yield on Aug 21, 2026? deverá ser resolvido em 21 de agosto de 2026.
- Como 5Y US Treasury yield on Aug 21, 2026? é liquidado?
- A Kalshi liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: If the par yield for the 5Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.15% on Aug 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.