KalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatório2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoProbabilidade implícita atual
Não 76%
Qualidade do mercado
40 / 100
Baixa qualidadeVolume 24h
—
Liquidez
327,6 €
Baixa liquidezCompra / Venda
22.0% / 29.0%
Spread
7.0 pt
Spread amploDados do mercado
Atualizado há 8 minutos
2/09/26, 23:00 UTC3/11/26, 04:59 UTC
Tendências
Regras
If a completed submission by any of the 50 states of federal ballot-mail data through the USPS Federal Ballot Mail Portal is confirmed by any of the Source Agencies after Issuance and before Nov 3, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida via:United States Postal ServiceThe New York TimesAssociated PressBloomberg NewsReutersAxiosPoliticoSemaforThe InformationThe Washington PostThe Wall Street JournalABC NewsCBS NewsCNNFox NewsMSNBCNBC News
- This must be confirmed, verified, or established as factual by at least one Source Agency.
- News confirmation is defined as a published article, broadcast segment, or official news report by a Source Agency that A) explicitly states a qualifying state submission was completed, B) is based on journalistic investigation, sources, or evidence, and C) is presented as factual reporting rather than speculation, rumor, or unverified allegation.
- State means one of the 50 states.
- A qualifying submission requires a state or its authorized designee to complete the transfer of federal ballot-mail data through the Federal Ballot Mail Portal.
- Account creation, portal familiarization, design communication, optional notice, intent, planning, and a failed or incomplete upload do NOT qualify.
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will any state submit ballot-mail data to USPS??
- A Kalshi cota No em 76% em 9 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will any state submit ballot-mail data to USPS? é resolvido?
- Will any state submit ballot-mail data to USPS? deverá ser resolvido em 3 de novembro de 2026.
- Como Will any state submit ballot-mail data to USPS? é liquidado?
- A Kalshi liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: If a completed submission by any of the 50 states of federal ballot-mail data through the USPS Federal Ballot Mail Portal is confirmed by any of the Source Agencies after Issuance and before Nov 3, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.