KalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatório2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoProbabilidade implícita atual
Before Apr 6, 2028 46.4%Líder entre 3 opçõesAjustado pela margem: as cotações brutas somavam mais de 100% e foram normalizadas.
Qualidade do mercado
35 / 100
Baixa qualidadeVolume 24h
—
Liquidez
518,8 €
Baixa liquidezSpread
7.0 pt
Spread amploDados do mercado
Atualizado há 12 minutos
20/08/26, 18:00 UTC1/11/26, 04:59 UTC
Tendências
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KalshiClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
PolymarketRegras
If the UK agrees to or announces a cut or repeal of its digital services tax the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida via:HM Treasury
- A market resolves to Yes on a UK government announcement that abolishes the digital services tax, reduces its rate, raises either of its revenue thresholds, suspends it, or exempts companies from its scope.
- There is no minimum size and the measure need not be legislated or in force before the strike date.
- A rate increase, or a change that only broadens the tax, does not resolve any market.
- An announcement qualifies if it involves any of the following:
- Formal commitment by the head of government with constitutional authority Official statements by authorized ministers Official press releases Formal declarations during government proceedings Announcements with a specified future implementation date
Mercados abertos
RegulationPOLYMARKETClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- No+1.0pt86%
- Yes-1.0pt14%
- Volume total
- € 12,5 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 180,5 mil
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,-2.0pt88%
- December 15,86%
- November 30,+1.0pt85%
+7 mais resultados
- Volume total
KALSHIWill the Clarity Act become law?
- Before Jan 1, 2028-14.0pt37%
- Before Oct 1, 2027-13.0pt36%
- Before Jul 1, 2027-9.0pt32%
+7 mais resultados
KALSHIWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Before Apr 1, 2027+5.0pt97%
- Before Jan 1, 2027+5.0pt96%
- Before Mar 1, 2027-1.0pt94%
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POLYMARKETWhat will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?
- $1.25T–$1.5T21.2%
- $1.75T–$2.0T20.2%
- $1.5T–$1.75T19.2%
+5 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 105,1 mil
KALSHIHow many states will adopt data center moratoriums in 2026?
- At least 3+21.0pt84%
- At least 267%
- At least 4+13.0pt57%
+1 mais resultados
- Volume total
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de When will the UK cut or repeal its digital services tax??
- A Kalshi cota Before Apr 6, 2028 em 46% em 9 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando When will the UK cut or repeal its digital services tax? é resolvido?
- When will the UK cut or repeal its digital services tax? deverá ser resolvido em 1 de novembro de 2026.
- Como When will the UK cut or repeal its digital services tax? é liquidado?
- A Kalshi liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: If the UK agrees to or announces a cut or repeal of its digital services tax the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.