KalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatórioDados de resolução verificadosBem calibradoPonto médio do livro selecionado
800,000 or more · —
A carregar o livro selecionado…
—
Preço registado
800,000 or more 10.5%Líder entre 6 opções
800,000 or more 10.5%Qualidade do mercado
33 / 100
Baixa qualidadeVolume 24h
—
Contratos em aberto
1,5 mil US$
Contratos em aberto: baixoCompra / Venda
— / —
800,000 or moreSpread
—
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 4 minutos
1/01/26, 15:00 UTC1/01/27, 04:59 UTC
O gráfico e as variações mostram probabilidades históricas guardadas, não o livro selecionado em tempo real.
Tendências
Linha selecionada: ponto médio do livro. Outras linhas: referências guardadas, possivelmente normalizadas; as variações de 24h usam o histórico guardado.
Condições da plataforma
Fonte: Kalshi
Estas condições são informativas; as operações simuladas da CoinRithm seguem regras próprias.
- Encerramento antecipado:
- Sim
- Prazo de liquidação:
- 30m (informativo)
Profundidade de mercado · 800,000 or more
A carregar o livro selecionado…
—
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Will Ninja reach at least 10k Twitch subscribers this year?
KalshiWill the PBD Podcast reach 10 million subscribers this year?
KalshiWill Javadoodles reach 3 million subscribers on Youtube by the end of 2029?
Manifold MarketsEbenezer · Rotten Tomatoes score
KalshiOscar Winner: Best Picture
KalshiHexed · Rotten Tomatoes score
KalshiRegras
If KaiCenat's peak number of active paid Twitch subscribers is at least 800000 at any time before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida via:TwitchTwitchTrackerThe New York Timesthe Associated PressBloomberg NewsReutersThe Washington PostThe Wall Street JournalTechCrunchThe VergePolygonKotaku
- Active paid Twitch subscribers includes Tier 1 subscriptions (including Prime Gaming), Tier 2, and Tier 3 subscriptions, all counted as single subscriptions without weighting. Gift subscriptions that are currently active are included. Followers, expired subscriptions, channel points, bits, and viewers are NOT included. Only the primary Twitch channel specified at issuance is considered. If the channel is banned or deleted before the deadline, the contract resolves based on the last verifiable peak achieved. The highest subscriber count achieved at any single moment during the period determines resolution. Channel username changes are tracked by unique channel ID and do not affect the market.
Regras de cada resultado
- 800,000 or more
- If KaiCenat's peak number of active paid Twitch subscribers is at least 800000 at any time before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 600,000 or more
- If KaiCenat's peak number of active paid Twitch subscribers is at least 600000 at any time before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 1,100,000 or more
- If KaiCenat's peak number of active paid Twitch subscribers is at least 1100000 at any time before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 1,200,000 or more
- If KaiCenat's peak number of active paid Twitch subscribers is at least 1200000 at any time before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 700,000 or more
- If KaiCenat's peak number of active paid Twitch subscribers is at least 700000 at any time before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 1,000,000 or more
- If KaiCenat's peak number of active paid Twitch subscribers is at least 1000000 at any time before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
