KalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatório2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoProbabilidade implícita atual
Não 86%
Qualidade do mercado
49 / 100
Baixa qualidadeVolume 24h
—
Liquidez
693,9 €
Baixa liquidezCompra / Venda
10.0% / 14.0%
Spread
4.0 pt
Spread moderadoDados do mercado
Atualizado há 4 minutos
17/08/26, 23:32 UTC1/01/27, 04:59 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
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Manifold MarketsWill Tucker Carlson announce a run for President before 2028?
PredictItWill Tucker Carlson win the Republican Nomination for US President in 2028?
ForecastExRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
PolymarketRegras
If a new U.S. political party with Tucker Carlson as a founder, co-founder, or principal organizer files with the FEC or a state election authority as a political party or party committee after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida via:The Washington PostFox NewsThe Wall Street JournalThe GuardianABCBloomberg NewsCBSSouth China Morning PostNBCthe Associated PressThe VergeBBCAxiosCNNABC News AustraliaThe InformationSemaforMSNBCCBCReutersPoliticoThe New York Times
- Only reporting from any of the Source Agencies qualifies for the purposes of this market.
- Reports that merely reference prior publications (from before Issuance) do not qualify.
- Republishing of content originally produced by other sources (e.g., wire services) only qualifies if the content is hosted on the outlet's official platform and the outlet is clearly identified as the publishing entity.
Mercados abertos
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- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
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- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
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KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16%
- Gavin Newsom14%
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- New People (NL)-3.8pt21.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.1pt3%
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.3pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+2.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
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- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will Tucker Carlson form a third party this year??
- A Kalshi cota No em 86% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will Tucker Carlson form a third party this year? é resolvido?
- Will Tucker Carlson form a third party this year? deverá ser resolvido em 1 de janeiro de 2027.
- Como Will Tucker Carlson form a third party this year? é liquidado?
- A Kalshi liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: If a new U.S. political party with Tucker Carlson as a founder, co-founder, or principal organizer files with the FEC or a state election authority as a political party or party committee after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.