KalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatórioDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoProbabilidade implícita atual
Above 34% 76%Líder entre 7 opções
Qualidade do mercado
31 / 100
Baixa qualidadeVolume 24h
8,8 €
Liquidez
8,8 €
Baixa liquidezSpread
7.0 pt
Spread amploDados do mercado
Atualizado há 6 minutos
24/09/26, 21:00 UTC6/11/26, 16:59 UTC
Tendências
Condições da plataforma
Fonte: Kalshi
Estas condições são informativas; as operações simuladas da CoinRithm seguem regras próprias.
- Encerramento antecipado:
- Sim
- Prazo de liquidação:
- 30m (informativo)
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Will Ken Paxton get 40% or more of the Asian vote in the 2026 senate election, according to the CNN exit poll?
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KalshiHow low will Trump's approval rating go in 2026?
PolymarketHow low will Trump's approval rating get before 2027?
KalshiHow high will Trump's approval rating get before 2027?
KalshiHow high will Trump's approval rating go in 2026?
PolymarketRegras
If the share of voters who approve of Donald Trump's job performance as president in the 2026 national U.S. House exit poll is above 34%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The value is the sum of the percentages of all voters shown for "Strongly approve" and "Somewhat approve" on the question asking voters' opinion of Donald Trump as president in the national U.S. House exit poll.
- If those two figures are not shown separately, the value is the percentage of all voters shown for "Approve" on that question.
- The primary resolution source is the CNN figure displayed at exactly 12:00 PM ET on November 6, 2026.
- If unavailable, CNN remains the primary source for 24 hours after that time.
- If it remains unavailable, use CBS News followed by ABC News through 11:59 PM ET on November 7, 2026.
Mercados abertos
PoliticsPOLYMARKETDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez18%
- Jon Ossoff-0.8pt16%
- Gavin Newsom+1.6pt15%
+50 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 1,1 bi
- Volume 24h
- € 917,1 mil
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff-1.0pt16.2%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16.2%
- Gavin Newsom14.1%
+45 mais resultados
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- € 198,6 mi
- Volume 24h
KALSHI2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- Democrats sweep61%
- D-House, R-Senate-2.0pt30%
- Republicans sweep-0.1pt8%
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- Volume total
- € 18,8 mi
KALSHITexas Senate winner?
- James Talarico+3.0pt62%
- Ken Paxton-5.0pt38%
- Volume total
- € 12,8 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 411,4 mil
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- Édouard Philippe24.2%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon13.1%
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- Republican Party-0.5pt8%
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- Volume 24h
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Midterms: Trump approval in the exit poll??
- A Kalshi cota Above 34% em 76% em 26 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Midterms: Trump approval in the exit poll? é resolvido?
- Midterms: Trump approval in the exit poll? deverá ser resolvido em 6 de novembro de 2026.
- Como Midterms: Trump approval in the exit poll? é liquidado?
- A Kalshi liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: If the share of voters who approve of Donald Trump's job performance as president in the 2026 national U.S. House exit poll is above 34%, then the market resolves to Yes.