KalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatórioDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoProbabilidade implícita atual
38.7% 45.4%Líder entre 9 opçõesAjustado pela margem: as cotações brutas somavam mais de 100% e foram normalizadas.
38.7% 45.4%Qualidade do mercado
79 / 100
Alta qualidadeVolume 24h
121,1 mil €
Contratos em aberto
77,7 mil €
Contratos em aberto: altoSpread
2.0 pt
Spread moderadoDados do mercado
Atualizado há 6 minutos
27/09/26, 14:01 UTC28/09/26, 16:59 UTC
Tendências
Condições da plataforma
Fonte: Kalshi
Estas condições são informativas; as operações simuladas da CoinRithm seguem regras próprias.
- Encerramento antecipado:
- Sim
- Prazo de liquidação:
- 30m (informativo)
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If Trump's RCP approval average is below 38.4% at exactly 1:00 PM ET on Sep 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida via:RealClearPolitics
- The value in the "Approve" column of the "RCP Average" row of the table titled "President Trump Job Approval" will be the sole resolution source for this event.
- If Trump's RCP approval average is exactly 38.4% at exactly 1:00 PM ET on Sep 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Trump's RCP approval average is exactly 38.5% at exactly 1:00 PM ET on Sep 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Trump's RCP approval average is exactly 38.6% at exactly 1:00 PM ET on Sep 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Trump's RCP approval average is exactly 38.7% at exactly 1:00 PM ET on Sep 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.