KalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatórioDados de resolução verificadosBem calibradoProbabilidade implícita atual
38.2% 92.5%+23.0ptLíder entre 9 opçõesAjustado pela margem: as cotações brutas somavam mais de 100% e foram normalizadas.
38.2% 92.5%+23.0ptQualidade do mercado
62 / 100
Qualidade médiaVolume 24h
292,4 mil €
Contratos em aberto
162,8 mil €
Contratos em aberto: altoDados do mercado
Atualizado há 24 minutos
2/10/26, 14:01 UTC3/10/26, 16:59 UTC
Tendências
Condições da plataforma
Fonte: Kalshi
Estas condições são informativas; as operações simuladas da CoinRithm seguem regras próprias.
- Encerramento antecipado:
- Sim
- Prazo de liquidação:
- 30m (informativo)
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Regras
If Trump's RCP approval average is exactly 38.2% at exactly 1:00 PM ET on Oct 3, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida via:RealClearPolitics
- The value in the "Approve" column of the "RCP Average" row of the table titled "President Trump Job Approval" will be the sole resolution source for this event.
Regras de cada resultado
- 38.2%
- If Trump's RCP approval average is exactly 38.2% at exactly 1:00 PM ET on Oct 3, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 38.1%
- If Trump's RCP approval average is exactly 38.1% at exactly 1:00 PM ET on Oct 3, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Below 38.0%
- If Trump's RCP approval average is below 38.0% at exactly 1:00 PM ET on Oct 3, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 38.6%
- If Trump's RCP approval average is above 38.6% at exactly 1:00 PM ET on Oct 3, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 38.3%
- If Trump's RCP approval average is exactly 38.3% at exactly 1:00 PM ET on Oct 3, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 38.0%
- If Trump's RCP approval average is exactly 38.0% at exactly 1:00 PM ET on Oct 3, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 38.6%
- If Trump's RCP approval average is exactly 38.6% at exactly 1:00 PM ET on Oct 3, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 38.4%
- If Trump's RCP approval average is exactly 38.4% at exactly 1:00 PM ET on Oct 3, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 38.5%
- If Trump's RCP approval average is exactly 38.5% at exactly 1:00 PM ET on Oct 3, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.