KalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatório2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoProbabilidade implícita atual
claude-opus-5-high 61.7%+9.0ptLíder entre 5 opçõesAjustado pela margem: as cotações brutas somavam mais de 100% e foram normalizadas.
Qualidade do mercado
75 / 100
Alta qualidadeVolume 24h
35,3 mil €
Liquidez
75,4 mil €
Alta liquidezSpread
3.0 pt
Spread moderadoDados do mercado
Atualizado há 10 minutos
3/08/26, 15:0031/08/26, 14:00
Tendências
Regras
If claude-opus-4-6-thinking is the top-ranked AI model on Aug 31, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:LM Arena Leaderboard (Remove Style Control)
- If two models are tied under Rank (UB), then the model with the highest Arena Score will win.
- If two models are still tied after that, then the model with the most votes will win.
- If two models are still tied after that, the model that was released earlier will win.
- Important information: When checking the source for this market, check the 'Remove Style Control' toggle.
- If claude-opus-5-high is the top-ranked AI model on Aug 31, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
Mercados abertos
AI
GEMINISeattle vs Tennessee
- Seattle62.5%
- Tennessee37.5%
- Volume total
- € 39,9 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 38,5 mil
POLYMARKETIn which month will Anthropic IPO?
- October 2026-0.5pt69%
- September 2026-2.0pt14%
- November 2026-4.0pt5%
+14 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 60,2 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 33,2 mil
GEMINIArthur Fils vs Frances Tiafoe
- Arthur Fils99%
- Frances Tiafoe1%
- Volume total
- € 32,9 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 32,9 mil
POLYMARKETGemini 4.0 released by which date?
- November 30-3.5pt81%
- October 31-14.5pt57%
- September 30-4.0pt19%
+4 mais resultados
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude-1.7pt63.8%
- Grok+5.0pt14.3%
- ChatGPT-1.5pt10.5%
+5 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 7,9 mi
POLYMARKETBest Chinese AI Company end of August?
- Alibaba+0.5pt93%
- Company A50%
- Other50%
+22 mais resultados
- Volume total
- Coco Gauff vs Jessica Pegula
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Top AI model in August?
- A Kalshi cota claude-opus-5-high em 62% em 24 de agosto de 2026.
- Quando Top AI model in August é resolvido?
- Top AI model in August deverá ser resolvido em 31 de agosto de 2026.
- Como Top AI model in August é liquidado?
- A Kalshi liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: If claude-opus-4-6-thinking is the top-ranked AI model on Aug 31, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.