KalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatório2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoProbabilidade implícita atual
Before Jan 1, 2028 38%Líder entre 3 opções
Qualidade do mercado
≤49 / 100
Baixa qualidadeVolume 24h
—
Liquidez
19,5 mil €
Liquidez médiaSpread
3.0 pt
Spread moderadoDados do mercado
Atualizado há 7 minutos
27/07/26, 22:00 UTC1/01/27, 04:59 UTC
Tendências
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Will Clarence Thomas leave Supreme Court in 2026?
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If Clarence Thomas retires as Supreme Court justice the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida via:Supreme Court of the United States
- This market resolves based on when the departure is publicly announced or officially communicated, regardless of the effective date.
- If the person leaves the role due to death (i.e., if the person dies while holding the role), all contracts on the person may resolve to the last fair price as determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange.
- Temporary leaves of absence, suspensions, or recusals do not constitute leaving, resigning from, or retiring from the role unless the individual formally and permanently ceases to hold the position.
- If the person vacates the role and then re-occupies the role, the contract may settle on the initial vacation of the role.
- For "leave," cessation of holding the role qualifies, including resignation, retirement, removal, expulsion, expiration of term without renewal, recall, or other means by which the individual no longer occupies the role—this includes both voluntary and involuntary early departure AND the natural expiration of a term.
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will Clarence Thomas announce his retirement??
- A Kalshi cota Before Jan 1, 2028 em 38% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will Clarence Thomas announce his retirement? é resolvido?
- Will Clarence Thomas announce his retirement? deverá ser resolvido em 1 de janeiro de 2027.
- Como Will Clarence Thomas announce his retirement? é liquidado?
- A Kalshi liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: If Clarence Thomas retires as Supreme Court justice the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.