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  1. Mercados de Previsão
  2. Política
  3. Will early elections in the UK be announced before 2027?
Will early elections in the UK be announced before 2027?

Will early elections in the UK be announced before 2027?

1.0% (24h)One-OffPolíticaEleiçãoEuropeChessEsportes6m
KalshiKalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatório2% de taxa
Probabilidade implícita atual
Sim
Sim 10%+1.0%
Qualidade do mercado

49 / 100

Baixa qualidade
Volume 24h

3,6 €

Liquidez

101,7 €

Baixa liquidez
Compra / Venda

9.6% / 9.7%

Spread

1.0%

Spread apertado
Dados do mercado

Atualizado há 4 minutos

18/10/25, 14:001/01/27, 4:59

Tendências

Resultado24hProbabilidade

Resultado escolhido

Yes10%

Regras

If United Kingdom officially announces a snap election for its national legislature or head of government before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • A snap election announcement must be made by a person or body with legal authority to call elections in the specified country and must specify an actual election date.
  • The election must be called to occur at least 90 days earlier than either the previously scheduled election date or the latest constitutionally required date.
  • The announcement itself must occur before the deadline at 11:59 PM ET, regardless of when the election is scheduled.
  • Examples that qualify include: Prime Minister dissolving parliament for early elections, President resigning triggering constitutionally-mandated early elections, votes of no confidence requiring new elections, or governing coalition collapse leading to early elections.
  • Regional or local elections do not qualify - only national elections for the legislature or head of government count.

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Regras

If United Kingdom officially announces a snap election for its national legislature or head of government before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • A snap election announcement must be made by a person or body with legal authority to call elections in the specified country and must specify an actual election date.
  • The election must be called to occur at least 90 days earlier than either the previously scheduled election date or the latest constitutionally required date.
  • The announcement itself must occur before the deadline at 11:59 PM ET, regardless of when the election is scheduled.
  • Examples that qualify include: Prime Minister dissolving parliament for early elections, President resigning triggering constitutionally-mandated early elections, votes of no confidence requiring new elections, or governing coalition collapse leading to early elections.
  • Regional or local elections do not qualify - only national elections for the legislature or head of government count.