KalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatório2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoProbabilidade implícita atual
Above 70 97%Líder entre 9 opções
Qualidade do mercado
65 / 100
Qualidade médiaVolume 24h
3,9 mil €
Liquidez
6,2 mil €
Liquidez médiaSpread
1.0 pt
Spread apertadoDados do mercado
Atualizado há 8 minutos
28/08/26, 16:00 UTC7/10/26, 02:29 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
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Manifold Markets[Credit Default Swap] How many of these markets will resolve to YES?
Manifold MarketsManifold Credit Default swaps 2030
Manifold MarketsRegras
If the Carbon Arc Shein Credit Card Spend (September 2026) for September 2026 is the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida via:Carbon Arc
- For purposes of this market, determination will resolve on the first value reported by Carbon Arc.
- Corrections or revisions made after the market has been settled will not affect the outcome.
- The index measures year-over-year change, where 100 means Shein Credit Card Spend was equal to the same month last year.
- Values the named outcome indicate growth and values below 100 indicate decline: for example, 103 = 3% more spend than year prior, 97 = 3% decline from year prior.
- The index is measured by Carbon Arc's aggregated U.S. credit and debit card transaction panel, matched to the same period of the prior year.
Mercados abertos
Business & Corporate
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 19 - September 21, 2026?
- 40-64+11.5pt67.7%
- <40-4.0pt17.6%
- 65-89-6.0pt13.7%
+7 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 219 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 180,5 mil
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 18 - September 25, 2026?
- 180-199+1.0pt27.7%
- 200-219+4.0pt23.8%
- 160-179-2.0pt13.9%
+23 mais resultados
KALSHITencent market share this week
- Above 5.6%+22.0pt99%
- Above 2.7%99%
- Above 4.5%99%
+6 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 228,6 mil
- Volume 24h
POLYMARKETWill Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- ↑$1.25T+1.3pt100%
- ↑$1.1T+3.6pt100%
- ↑$1.0T+2.4pt100%
+10 mais resultados
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- $2.0–$2.25T+0.1pt25.3%
- $2.25–$2.5T-5.0pt20%
- $1.75–$2.0T-4.0pt16.8%
+7 mais resultados
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 22 - September 29, 2026?
- 180-199-0.5pt19.6%
- 200-21917.8%
- 160-17916.8%
+23 mais resultados
- Volume total
- Variational FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- Elon Musk # of tweets in September 2026?
- First to hit $1B FDV: ANSEM, CASHCAT, AI, or NET?
- Coca-Cola Point of Sale Growth in September
- Washington professional, scientific, and technical services employment at end of 2026
- Will GameStop acquire eBay?
- Extended FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- Kentucky aging Bourbon-barrel inventory as of January 1, 2026
- Largest Company end of September?
- Rivian total vehicles delivered in Q3
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Shein Credit Card Spend in September?
- A Kalshi cota Above 70 em 97% em 20 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Shein Credit Card Spend in September é resolvido?
- Shein Credit Card Spend in September deverá ser resolvido em 7 de outubro de 2026.
- Como Shein Credit Card Spend in September é liquidado?
- A Kalshi liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: If the Carbon Arc Shein Credit Card Spend (September 2026) for September 2026 is the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.