What will the Supreme Court look like at the end of Trump's term?
5.0 pts (24h)One-OffPolítica dos EUA2a
KalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatórioDados de resolução verificadosBem calibradoPonto médio do livro selecionado
6 Conservatives and 3 Liberals · —
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Preço registado
6 Conservatives and 3 Liberals 65.5%Líder entre 5 opções
6 Conservatives and 3 Liberals 65.5%Qualidade do mercado
57 / 100
Qualidade médiaVolume 24h
4,5 €
Contratos em aberto
14,6 mil US$
Contratos em aberto: médioCompra / Venda
— / —
6 Conservatives and 3 LiberalsSpread
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Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 12 minutos
9/11/24, 19:00 UTC20/01/29, 15:00 UTC
O gráfico e as variações mostram probabilidades históricas guardadas, não o livro selecionado em tempo real.
Tendências
Linha selecionada: ponto médio do livro. Outras linhas: referências guardadas, possivelmente normalizadas; as variações de 24h usam o histórico guardado.
Condições da plataforma
Fonte: Kalshi
Estas condições são informativas; as operações simuladas da CoinRithm seguem regras próprias.
- Encerramento antecipado:
- Sim
- Prazo de liquidação:
- 5m (informativo)
Profundidade de mercado · 6 Conservatives and 3 Liberals
A carregar o livro selecionado…
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Manifold MarketsRegras
If on Jan 20, 2029 there are 6 Supreme Court justices appointed by Republican Presidents and 3 Supreme Court justices appointed by Democrats, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida via:Library of Congress
- If there are not nine justices at the time of Expiration, then only the “Not nine justices” strike will resolve to Yes and all other strikes will resolve to No.
Regras de cada resultado
- 6 Conservatives and 3 Liberals
- If on Jan 20, 2029 there are 6 Supreme Court justices appointed by Republican Presidents and 3 Supreme Court justices appointed by Democrats, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Not nine justices
- If at expiration on Jan 20, 2029 the Supreme Court does not have exactly nine sitting justices, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 7 Conservatives and 2 Liberals
- If on Jan 20, 2029 there are 7 Supreme Court justices appointed by Republican Presidents and 2 Supreme Court justices appointed by Democrats, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 8 Conservatives and 1 Liberals
- If on Jan 20, 2029 there are 8 Supreme Court justices appointed by Republican Presidents and 1 Supreme Court justices appointed by Democrats, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 9 Conservatives and 0 Liberals
- If on Jan 20, 2029 there are 9 Supreme Court justices appointed by Republican Presidents and 0 Supreme Court justices appointed by Democrats, then the market resolves to Yes.
