Will SCOTUS let people seek green cards after their asylum is terminated?

US PoliticsOne-Off2a

KalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatório2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosCalibração aproximada

Aviso de qualidade dos dadosSem preço significativo

Dados de 28 de jul. de 2026, 13:30 UTC · política pm-quality-3

Probabilidade implícita atual

Não 100%

Qualidade do mercado

39 / 100

Baixa qualidade

Volume 24h

0 €

Liquidez

0 €

Baixa liquidez

Compra / Venda

32.0% / 39.0%

Spread

7.0 pt

Spread amplo

Dados do mercado

Atualizado há 19 minutos

24/07/26, 0:001/08/28, 14:00

Tendências

Resultado24hProbabilidade

Sim

Não

100%

Apenas fundos simulados, sem dinheiro realIsto não é aconselhamento financeiro

Resultado escolhido

Yes0%

Aposta (USDT)

Regras

If the Supreme Court, in Wassily v.

Blanche, rules termination of a noncitizen’s asylum does not categorically bar that person from seeking adjustment to lawful permanent resident status under 8 U.S.C. § 1159(b), then the market resolves to Yes.
The Payout Criterion for the Contract encompasses the Expiration Values that the Supreme Court of the United States has ruled that noncitizens who were granted asylum, but whose asylum was later terminated, are not categorically ineligible for adjustment to lawful permanent resident status under 8 U.S.C. § 1159(b), after Issuance and before August 1, 2028.
The market resolves to No if the Court holds that such noncitizens are categorically ineligible.
If the Court dismisses the writ as improvidently granted, dismisses the case, remands without resolving this question, or otherwise disposes of the case without a merits ruling on this issue, the market resolves to No.

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Ativos nestes tópicos

BitcoinBTC$63,917.06+0.52%

EthereumETH$1,905.13+0.87%

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XRPXRP$1.08+2.18%

BNBBNB$568.53+0.39%

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Regras

If the Supreme Court, in Wassily v.

Blanche, rules termination of a noncitizen’s asylum does not categorically bar that person from seeking adjustment to lawful permanent resident status under 8 U.S.C. § 1159(b), then the market resolves to Yes.
The Payout Criterion for the Contract encompasses the Expiration Values that the Supreme Court of the United States has ruled that noncitizens who were granted asylum, but whose asylum was later terminated, are not categorically ineligible for adjustment to lawful permanent resident status under 8 U.S.C. § 1159(b), after Issuance and before August 1, 2028.
The market resolves to No if the Court holds that such noncitizens are categorically ineligible.
If the Court dismisses the writ as improvidently granted, dismisses the case, remands without resolving this question, or otherwise disposes of the case without a merits ruling on this issue, the market resolves to No.

Will SCOTUS let people seek green cards after their asylum is terminated?

US PoliticsOne-Off2a

KalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatório2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosCalibração aproximada

Aviso de qualidade dos dadosSem preço significativo

Dados de 28 de jul. de 2026, 13:30 UTC · política pm-quality-3

Probabilidade implícita atual

Não 100%

Qualidade do mercado

39 / 100

Baixa qualidade

Volume 24h

0 €

Liquidez

0 €

Baixa liquidez

Compra / Venda

32.0% / 39.0%

Spread

7.0 pt

Spread amplo

Dados do mercado

Atualizado há 19 minutos

24/07/26, 0:001/08/28, 14:00

Tendências

Resultado24hProbabilidade

Sim

Não

100%

Apenas fundos simulados, sem dinheiro realIsto não é aconselhamento financeiro

Resultado escolhido

Yes0%

Aposta (USDT)

Regras

If the Supreme Court, in Wassily v.

Blanche, rules termination of a noncitizen’s asylum does not categorically bar that person from seeking adjustment to lawful permanent resident status under 8 U.S.C. § 1159(b), then the market resolves to Yes.
The Payout Criterion for the Contract encompasses the Expiration Values that the Supreme Court of the United States has ruled that noncitizens who were granted asylum, but whose asylum was later terminated, are not categorically ineligible for adjustment to lawful permanent resident status under 8 U.S.C. § 1159(b), after Issuance and before August 1, 2028.
The market resolves to No if the Court holds that such noncitizens are categorically ineligible.
If the Court dismisses the writ as improvidently granted, dismisses the case, remands without resolving this question, or otherwise disposes of the case without a merits ruling on this issue, the market resolves to No.

Mercados Relacionados

Will the Supreme Court bar Boulder’s state-law climate claims against Suncor and Exxon?

0 €

Sim: 71%

KALSHI

Will SCOTUS reject narrow Free Exercise tests for Catholic preschools?

0 €

Sim: 84%

KALSHI

Will SCOTUS allow Arizona’s citizenship-proof and pre-election noncitizen-removal rules?

0 €

Sim: 61%

KALSHI

Will SCOTUS bar contempt for conduct not clearly prohibited by an injunction?

0 €

Sim: 0%

KALSHI

Will SCOTUS bar unpled affirmative defenses at summary judgment?

0 €

Sim: 66%

KALSHI

Will SCOTUS count subscribers to a video provider’s non-video offerings as VPPA consumers?

0 €

Sim: 44%

KALSHI

Ativos nestes tópicos

BitcoinBTC$63,917.06+0.52%

EthereumETH$1,905.13+0.87%

SolanaSOL$73.41-0.12%

DogecoinDOGE$0.0705+0.67%

XRPXRP$1.08+2.18%

BNBBNB$568.53+0.39%

Notícias Relacionadas

Polymarket: Vance leads 2028 at 19.85% as pricing trend softensBlockchain.News

White House pushes Senate Democrats to take 'historic' crypto Clarity Act ethics dealCoindesk

Senate nears bipartisan CLARITY Act deal after ethics breakthroughCrypto News

White House agrees to ethics provisions in market structure billCointelegraph

Polymarket odds show Vance at 19.85% as Epstein files critique hits tapeBlockchain.News

Dick Durbin accuses Todd Blanche of shielding Trump’s crypto empireCrypto News

Regras

If the Supreme Court, in Wassily v.

Blanche, rules termination of a noncitizen’s asylum does not categorically bar that person from seeking adjustment to lawful permanent resident status under 8 U.S.C. § 1159(b), then the market resolves to Yes.
The Payout Criterion for the Contract encompasses the Expiration Values that the Supreme Court of the United States has ruled that noncitizens who were granted asylum, but whose asylum was later terminated, are not categorically ineligible for adjustment to lawful permanent resident status under 8 U.S.C. § 1159(b), after Issuance and before August 1, 2028.
The market resolves to No if the Court holds that such noncitizens are categorically ineligible.
If the Court dismisses the writ as improvidently granted, dismisses the case, remands without resolving this question, or otherwise disposes of the case without a merits ruling on this issue, the market resolves to No.