Reddest state to elect a Democratic senator in 2026?
1.0 pts (24h)PolíticaOne-OffUS PoliticsEleição3m
KalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatórioDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoProbabilidade implícita atual
Texas 34.9%+1.0ptLíder entre 16 opçõesAjustado pela margem: as cotações brutas somavam mais de 100% e foram normalizadas.
Qualidade do mercado
54 / 100
Qualidade médiaVolume 24h
49,6 mil €
Liquidez
48,7 mil €
Alta liquidezDados do mercado
Atualizado há 22 minutos
23/09/26, 21:00 UTC3/01/27, 13:59 UTC
Tendências
Condições da plataforma
Fonte: Kalshi
Estas condições são informativas; as operações simuladas da CoinRithm seguem regras próprias.
- Encerramento antecipado:
- Sim
- Prazo de liquidação:
- 30m (informativo)
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Will Texas elect a Democratic Senator in 2026, and will they elect at least 14 Democratic Representatives?
Manifold MarketsWill Ohio elect a Democratic Senator in 2026, and will they elect at least 4 Democratic Representatives?
Manifold MarketsBluest state to elect a Republican senator in 2026?
KalshiWill a Democratic Senator say something positive about Trump's death within 24 hours of it happening?
Manifold MarketsDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
PolymarketWhich party will win the U.S. House?
KalshiRegras
If Mississippi is the state with the highest 2024 Trump-minus-Harris presidential margin among states where a Democratic candidate wins a 2026 U.S. Senate election, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida via:Federal Election CommissionMississippi Secretary of StateLouisiana Secretary of StateMontana Secretary of StateSouth Carolina State Election CommissionKansas Secretary of StateTexas Secretary of StateIowa Secretary of StateAlaska Division of Electionsthe Florida Division of ElectionsOhio Secretary of StateNorth Carolina State Board of ElectionsGeorgia Secretary of StateMichigan Secretary of StateNew Hampshire Secretary of StateMinnesota Secretary of StateVirginia Department of Elections
- A state's 2024 margin is Donald Trump's share of that state's certified 2024 presidential vote minus Kamala Harris's share, per the Federal Election Commission's official 2024 presidential general election results.
- The margin is negative where Harris won.
- A state qualifies only if the certified winner of its 2026 regular or special U.S. Senate election, after any required runoff or ranked-choice tabulation, is listed on the general-election ballot as a Democrat (including Minnesota's Democratic-Farmer-Labor Party).
- Independent and third-party winners do NOT count, even if they caucus with Democrats.
- Each state's winner is as certified by that state's official election authority.
Mercados abertos
PoliticsPOLYMARKETDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez18%
- Jon Ossoff16%
- Gavin Newsom+1.6pt15%
+50 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 1,1 bi
- Volume 24h
- € 787,4 mil
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff16.8%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez15.8%
- Gavin Newsom13.9%
+45 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 198,3 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 574,3 mil
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party+0.3pt92%
- Republican Party-0.7pt8%
- Volume total
- € 32,7 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 543,8 mil
KALSHI2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- Democrats sweep-2.0pt60.6%
- D-House, R-Senate-1.0pt30.3%
- Republicans sweep+0.2pt8.1%
+1 mais resultados
KALSHIMaine Senate winner?
- Troy Jackson-3.0pt63%
- Susan Collins+3.0pt37%
- Volume total
- € 5,9 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 393,6 mil
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- March 31+1.5pt80%
- December 31+2.5pt66%
- November 30+1.0pt49%
+20 mais resultados
- Texas Senate winner?
- Presidential Election Winner 2028
- Next French Presidential Election
- Brazil Presidential Election
- Ohio Senate winner?
- New Hampshire Senate winner?
- Which party will win the U.S. Senate?
- 2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Kansas Senate winner?
- Bluest state to elect a Republican senator in 2026?
- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Reddest state to elect a Democratic senator in 2026??
- A Kalshi cota Texas em 34.9% em 25 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Reddest state to elect a Democratic senator in 2026? é resolvido?
- Reddest state to elect a Democratic senator in 2026? deverá ser resolvido em 3 de janeiro de 2027.
- Como Reddest state to elect a Democratic senator in 2026? é liquidado?
- A Kalshi liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: If Mississippi is the state with the highest 2024 Trump-minus-Harris presidential margin among states where a Democratic candidate wins a 2026 U.S. Senate election, then the market resolves to Yes.