KalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatório2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoProbabilidade implícita atual
Richard Neal, ≥5% 90.8%Líder entre 11 opçõesAjustado pela margem: as cotações brutas somavam mais de 100% e foram normalizadas.
Qualidade do mercado
≤49 / 100
Baixa qualidadeVolume 24h
—
Liquidez
10,7 mil €
Liquidez médiaSpread
1.0 pt
Spread apertadoDados do mercado
Atualizado há 12 minutos
27/08/26, 19:45 UTC1/09/27, 14:00 UTC
Tendências
Regras
If the margin of victory for Richard Neal in the 2026 MA-01 Democratic primary is at or above 5%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The margin of victory is the vote share received by Richard Neal minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Richard Neal if Richard Neal wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Richard Neal loses.
- If Richard Neal wins, the margin will be positive; if Richard Neal loses, the margin will be negative; if Richard Neal ties for first place, the margin shall be 0.
- Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied.
- For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range.
- If Richard Neal runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed.
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de MA-01 Democratic primary margin of victory? (Richard Neal)?
- A Kalshi cota Richard Neal, ≥5% em 91% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando MA-01 Democratic primary margin of victory? (Richard Neal) é resolvido?
- MA-01 Democratic primary margin of victory? (Richard Neal) deverá ser resolvido em 1 de setembro de 2027.
- Como MA-01 Democratic primary margin of victory? (Richard Neal) é liquidado?
- A Kalshi liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: If the margin of victory for Richard Neal in the 2026 MA-01 Democratic primary is at or above 5%, then the market resolves to Yes.