South Carolina Republican Governor primary runoff margin of victory?
PolíticaOne-OffUS PoliticsEleição
KalshiFechadoVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatório2% de taxaEste mercado foi resolvido: Alan Wilson, ≥20% (99%)
Resolvido: 29 de jun. de 2026, 20:56
Resolução verificada pelo provedor
A CoinRithm tem evidência do provedor para o vencedor e o horário de liquidação deste mercado.
Resultado Vencedor
Alan Wilson, ≥20%
A 7 dias
—
A 24 horas
99%
ConsensoProbabilidade implícita atualAlan Wilson, ≥20% 99%Líder entre 12 opções
Qualidade do mercado
49 / 100
Baixa qualidadeVolume 24h
188 €
Liquidez
774,9 €
Baixa liquidezCompra / Venda
99.0% / 100.0%
Spread
1.0%
Spread apertadoDados do mercado
Atualizado há 4 dias
Desatualizado16/06/26, 17:1423/06/27, 14:00
Linha do Tempo de Probabilidade
Alan Wilson, 4-8%1%
Alan Wilson, 8-12%1%
Alan Wilson, 16-20%1%
Pamela Evette, 0-4%1%
Alan Wilson, 12-16%1%
Alan Wilson, 0-4%1%
99%
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
Este mercado fechou. O trading simulado só está disponível em mercados abertos.
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If the margin of victory for Alan Wilson in the 2026 South Carolina Republican gubernatorial primary runoff falls within 0% to 4%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.
- For percentage points: the vote percentage received by Alan Wilson minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Alan Wilson if Alan Wilson wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Alan Wilson loses.
- For raw votes: the total votes received by Alan Wilson minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Alan Wilson if Alan Wilson wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Alan Wilson loses.
- For electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Alan Wilson minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Alan Wilson wins, or the electoral votes received by Alan Wilson minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Alan Wilson does not.
- Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound.