KalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatório2% de taxaProbabilidade implícita atualMelat Kiros, ≥15% 2%-1.0%Líder entre 12 opções
Qualidade do mercado
73 / 100
Qualidade médiaVolume 24h
8 mil €
Liquidez
79,5 mil €
Alta liquidezCompra / Venda
1.0% / 2.0%
Spread
100.0%
Spread amploDados do mercado
Atualizado há 7 minutos
29/06/26, 15:0330/06/27, 14:00
Tendências
Apenas fundos simulados, sem dinheiro realIsto não é aconselhamento financeiro
Resultado escolhido
Melat Kiros, ≥15%2%
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If the margin of victory for Diana DeGette in the 2026 CO-01 Democratic primary falls within 0% to 3%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.
- For percentage points: the vote percentage received by Diana DeGette minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Diana DeGette if Diana DeGette wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Diana DeGette loses.
- For raw votes: the total votes received by Diana DeGette minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Diana DeGette if Diana DeGette wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Diana DeGette loses.
- For electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Diana DeGette minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Diana DeGette wins, or the electoral votes received by Diana DeGette minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Diana DeGette does not.
- Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound.