KalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatório2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoProbabilidade implícita atual
Cillian Murphy 25.7%Líder entre 7 opções
Qualidade do mercado
48 / 100
Baixa qualidadeVolume 24h
—
Liquidez
805 €
Baixa liquidezSpread
4.0 pt
Spread moderadoDados do mercado
Atualizado há 6 minutos
8/01/26, 23:00 UTC1/01/31, 15:00 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
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Manifold MarketsRegras
If the named outcome performs/ is announced as The Villain in the next James Bond film, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida via:007.com
- For the purposes of this Contract, the named outcome satisfies the Payout Criterion if either:
- Official Announcement: the named outcome is officially announced, confirmed, or publicly credited as cast to perform The Villain in the next James Bond film, regardless of whether the performance ultimately occurs; OR
- Actual Performance: the named outcome appears on stage, on screen, or in recorded content as The Villain in any official performance, showing, or release of the next James Bond film.
- Additional clarification(s):
- If the next James Bond film is entirely cancelled or abandoned before any official performance or release occurs, but the named outcome was officially announced in The Villain, the Contract will resolve to “Yes.”
Mercados abertos
Entertainment
POLYMARKET"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by September 30?
- 950 - 960m+18.0pt69.6%
- 940 - 950m-16.5pt26.5%
- 970m++1.1pt2%
+2 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 319,8 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 98 mil
KALSHINext James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond
- Jack Lowden+25.0pt67%
- Callum Turner-3.0pt21%
- Jack Barton-8.0pt20%
+27 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 1,8 mi
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- Jack Lowden+23.4pt48%
- No Bond chosen-6.3pt17%
- Jack Barton-3.5pt9%
+21 mais resultados
KALSHIPractical Magic 2 · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 45-55.0pt18%
- Above 50-59.0pt4%
- Above 55-54.0pt2%
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- Volume total
- € 80 mil
KALSHIPrimetime · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 4599%
- Above 5099%
- Above 5599%
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- Volume total
- € 130,6 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 45,3 mil
KALSHIBig Brother Season 28 · Winner
- Yash Patel+4.0pt27.7%
- Barrett Pfeiffer17%
- Drew Campbell+1.0pt13.4%
+14 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 4 mi
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- Runner · Rotten Tomatoes score
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Next James Bond film: Actor cast as the villain?
- A Kalshi cota Cillian Murphy em 26% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Next James Bond film: Actor cast as the villain é resolvido?
- Next James Bond film: Actor cast as the villain deverá ser resolvido em 1 de janeiro de 2031.
- Como Next James Bond film: Actor cast as the villain é liquidado?
- A Kalshi liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: If the named outcome performs/ is announced as The Villain in the next James Bond film, then the market resolves to Yes.