KalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatório2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoProbabilidade implícita atual
Margaret Qualley 37%+8.0ptLíder entre 16 opções
Qualidade do mercado
46 / 100
Baixa qualidadeVolume 24h
29,7 €
Liquidez
7,3 mil €
Liquidez médiaSpread
5.0 pt
Spread moderadoDados do mercado
Atualizado há 9 minutos
14/02/26, 15:00 UTC1/01/31, 15:00 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
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Manifold MarketsRegras
If the named outcome performs/ is announced as a principal female character opposite James Bond referred to by major entertainment media as a “Bond girl” in the next James Bond film, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida via:007.com
- For the purposes of this Contract, the named outcome satisfies the Payout Criterion if either:
- Official Announcement: the named outcome is officially announced, confirmed, or publicly credited as cast to perform a principal female character opposite James Bond referred to by major entertainment media as a “Bond girl” in the next James Bond film, regardless of whether the performance ultimately occurs; OR
- Actual Performance: the named outcome appears on stage, on screen, or in recorded content as a principal female character opposite James Bond referred to by major entertainment media as a “Bond girl” in any official performance, showing, or release of the next James Bond film.
- Additional clarification(s):
- If the next James Bond film is entirely cancelled or abandoned before any official performance or release occurs, but the named outcome was officially announced in a principal female character opposite James Bond referred to by major entertainment media as a “Bond girl”, the Contract will resolve to “Yes.”
Mercados abertos
Entertainment
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- 940 - 950m-42.0pt19.2%
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- Volume total
- € 296,8 mil
- Volume 24h
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- 80-90M-2.0pt34.3%
- 60-70M-4.0pt1%
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- Volume total
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Next James Bond film: Actress cast as Bond girl?
- A Kalshi cota Margaret Qualley em 37% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Next James Bond film: Actress cast as Bond girl é resolvido?
- Next James Bond film: Actress cast as Bond girl deverá ser resolvido em 1 de janeiro de 2031.
- Como Next James Bond film: Actress cast as Bond girl é liquidado?
- A Kalshi liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: If the named outcome performs/ is announced as a principal female character opposite James Bond referred to by major entertainment media as a “Bond girl” in the next James Bond film, then the market resolves to Yes.