KalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatório2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoProbabilidade implícita atual
Não 70%
Qualidade do mercado
46 / 100
Baixa qualidadeVolume 24h
—
Liquidez
781,6 €
Baixa liquidezCompra / Venda
24.0% / 29.0%
Spread
5.0 pt
Spread moderadoDados do mercado
Atualizado há 6 minutos
11/03/26, 14:00 UTC1/01/27, 15:00 UTC
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If any sitting member of the United States Congress has announced that they have changed or will change their political party affiliation after Mar 11, 2026 and before 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- This Payout Criterion includes a member switching from partisan affiliation to independent, or independent to a given political party.
- This Payout Criterion also includes a member of Congress announcing that they will run for the next Congressional office, or in another future political campaign, in a different party's primary.
- For purposes of this Contract, partisan affiliation encompasses national party affiliations, and does not encompass regional political party affiliation.
- For example, a member announcing that they intend to join the Democratic Party instead of the Democratic-Farmers-Labor Party will not satisfy the Payout Criterion.
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will anyone else in Congress change parties in 2026??
- A Kalshi cota No em 70% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will anyone else in Congress change parties in 2026? é resolvido?
- Will anyone else in Congress change parties in 2026? deverá ser resolvido em 1 de janeiro de 2027.
- Como Will anyone else in Congress change parties in 2026? é liquidado?
- A Kalshi liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: If any sitting member of the United States Congress has announced that they have changed or will change their political party affiliation after Mar 11, 2026 and before 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.