KalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatórioDados de resolução verificadosBem calibradoPonto médio do livro selecionado
At least 1.25 million · —
A carregar o livro selecionado…
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Preço registado
At least 1.25 million 93%Líder entre 9 opções
At least 1.25 million 93%Qualidade do mercado
38 / 100
Baixa qualidadeVolume 24h
10,7 €
Contratos em aberto
1,8 mil US$
Contratos em aberto: baixoCompra / Venda
— / —
At least 1.25 millionSpread
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Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 20 minutos
24/09/26, 21:00 UTC4/11/26, 14:59 UTC
O gráfico e as variações mostram probabilidades históricas guardadas, não o livro selecionado em tempo real.
Tendências
Linha selecionada: ponto médio do livro. Outras linhas: referências guardadas, possivelmente normalizadas; as variações de 24h usam o histórico guardado.
Condições da plataforma
Fonte: Kalshi
Estas condições são informativas; as operações simuladas da CoinRithm seguem regras próprias.
- Encerramento antecipado:
- Sim
- Prazo de liquidação:
- 30m (informativo)
Profundidade de mercado · At least 1.25 million
A carregar o livro selecionado…
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Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
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KalshiRegras
If the UF Election Lab's count of Pennsylvania mail ballots requested for the 2026 general election is at least 1.35 million at 10:00 AM ET on November 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida via:University of Florida Election Lab
- The value is the headline "Mail ballots requested" figure at the top of the Pennsylvania page of the UF Election Lab's 2026 Early Voting Tracker, as displayed at 10:00 AM ET on November 4, 2026. If the page is unavailable at that time, the request_all value for Pennsylvania in the UF Election Lab's 2026 early vote data file (https://election.lab.ufl.edu/data-downloads/earlyvote/2026/US.csv) as of that time is used. Updates posted after that time are not counted.
Regras de cada resultado
- At least 1.25 million
- If the UF Election Lab's count of Pennsylvania mail ballots requested for the 2026 general election is at least 1.25 million at 10:00 AM ET on November 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 1.2 million
- If the UF Election Lab's count of Pennsylvania mail ballots requested for the 2026 general election is at least 1.2 million at 10:00 AM ET on November 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 1.3 million
- If the UF Election Lab's count of Pennsylvania mail ballots requested for the 2026 general election is at least 1.3 million at 10:00 AM ET on November 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 1.35 million
- If the UF Election Lab's count of Pennsylvania mail ballots requested for the 2026 general election is at least 1.35 million at 10:00 AM ET on November 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 1.4 million
- If the UF Election Lab's count of Pennsylvania mail ballots requested for the 2026 general election is at least 1.4 million at 10:00 AM ET on November 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 1.45 million
- If the UF Election Lab's count of Pennsylvania mail ballots requested for the 2026 general election is at least 1.45 million at 10:00 AM ET on November 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 1.5 million
- If the UF Election Lab's count of Pennsylvania mail ballots requested for the 2026 general election is at least 1.5 million at 10:00 AM ET on November 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 1.6 million
- If the UF Election Lab's count of Pennsylvania mail ballots requested for the 2026 general election is at least 1.6 million at 10:00 AM ET on November 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 1.7 million
- If the UF Election Lab's count of Pennsylvania mail ballots requested for the 2026 general election is at least 1.7 million at 10:00 AM ET on November 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
