KalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatório2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosCalibração aproximadaProbabilidade implícita atualJay Clayton 97.1%Líder entre 23 opções
Qualidade do mercado
64 / 100
Qualidade médiaVolume 24h
20,3 mil €
Liquidez
676,3 mil €
Alta liquidezCompra / Venda
- / 0.1%
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 21 minutos
22/05/26, 19:3520/01/29, 15:00
Tendências
0%
0%
Apenas fundos simulados, sem dinheiro realIsto não é aconselhamento financeiro
Resultado escolhido
Jay Clayton99%
Comparar plataformas· Jay Clayton
Classificado por qualidade de mercado, depois liquidez e volume de 24h| Plataforma | Qualidade | Probabilidade | vs. referência | Volume 24h | Liquidez | Atualização | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KalshiEsta páginaMelhor no geral | Média | 99% | — | 20,3 mil € | 676,3 mil € | há 21 minutos | |
 PolymarketMais ativa64% de correspondência · verificado | Baixa | 100% | — | 30,6 mil € | 0 € | há 45 dias | Abrir → |
Também disponível em Polymarket
Who will Trump announce as next Director of National Intelligence?
6.2 ptsFechados
Resolvido
Other (100%)
100%
-11.4pt0%
-6.3pt0%
+48 mais resultados
29 • Baixa qualidadeSpread desconhecidoBaixa liquidez
Volume total187,6 mil €
Volume 24h30,6 mil €
POLYMARKETRegras
If the first new person to be Director of National Intelligence is Aaron Lukas before Jan 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Acting and Interim holders of the office are not included in the Payout Criterion.
- Persons confirmed by the Senate to be that position, or appointed via a “recess appointment” are included, even if that recess appointment is later struck down as illegal.
- If the first new person to be Director of National Intelligence is John Ratcliffe before Jan 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the first new person to be Director of National Intelligence is Michael Ellis before Jan 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the first new person to be Director of National Intelligence is Richard Grenell before Jan 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
Os dados de comparação são apenas informativos. Preços e liquidez podem variar.
Grandes negociações
$3.0k94.7%KALSHIJay Clayton — Yeshá 17 dias
KALSHIJay Clayton — Yeshá 17 dias$3.7k94.6%KALSHIJay Clayton — Yeshá 17 dias
KALSHIJay Clayton — Yeshá 17 diasTendência de volume
$23.1k2 de jul.27d de dados28 de jul.
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If the first new person to be Director of National Intelligence is Aaron Lukas before Jan 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Acting and Interim holders of the office are not included in the Payout Criterion.
- Persons confirmed by the Senate to be that position, or appointed via a “recess appointment” are included, even if that recess appointment is later struck down as illegal.
- If the first new person to be Director of National Intelligence is John Ratcliffe before Jan 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the first new person to be Director of National Intelligence is Michael Ellis before Jan 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the first new person to be Director of National Intelligence is Richard Grenell before Jan 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.