KalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatório2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoProbabilidade implícita atual
No other person 52.1%+11.0ptLíder entre 17 opçõesAjustado pela margem: as cotações brutas somavam mais de 100% e foram normalizadas.
Qualidade do mercado
57 / 100
Qualidade médiaVolume 24h
44,1 €
Liquidez
19,1 mil €
Liquidez médiaSpread
4.0 pt
Spread moderadoDados do mercado
Atualizado há 7 minutos
1/04/25, 14:0020/01/29, 15:00
Tendências
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
Regras
If the next new Secretary of Defense before Jan 20, 2029 is the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida via:The New York Timesthe Associated PressReutersAxiosPoliticoSemaforThe InformationThe Washington PostThe Wall Street JournalABCCBSCNNFox NewsMSNBC
- Acting and Interim positions don't count.
Mercados abertos
US Politics
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- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-0.1pt20%
- Jon Ossoff-0.1pt16%
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POLYMARKETWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- No-1.0pt83.2%
- Yes+1.0pt16.8%
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Who will be Trump's next Secretary of Defense??
- A Kalshi cota No other person em 52% em 1 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Who will be Trump's next Secretary of Defense? é resolvido?
- Who will be Trump's next Secretary of Defense? deverá ser resolvido em 20 de janeiro de 2029.
- Como Who will be Trump's next Secretary of Defense? é liquidado?
- A Kalshi liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: If the next new Secretary of Defense before Jan 20, 2029 is the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.