KalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatório2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoProbabilidade implícita atual
Nikita Bier 13%-2.0ptLíder entre 8 opções
Qualidade do mercado
57 / 100
Qualidade médiaVolume 24h
468,1 €
Liquidez
40 mil €
Alta liquidezSpread
5.0 pt
Spread moderadoDados do mercado
Atualizado há 4 minutos
2/01/26, 15:00 UTC1/01/27, 15:00 UTC
Tendências
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Manifold MarketsRegras
If the named outcome is confirmed as CEO for X before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida via:X
- Important information: An acting or interim CEO role, including from the named outcome, would not satisfy the payout criterion.
- It must be a full-time CEO position.
- If Grok is confirmed as CEO for X before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Mercados abertos
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- $76,250 or above99%
- $75,000 or above99%
- $75,250 or above98%
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- Volume 24h
- € 536,7 mil
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 4 - September 11, 2026?
- 160-179+18.0pt37.1%
- 180-199+10.0pt36.2%
- 200-219-10.0pt12.4%
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- $72,500 or above+3.0pt99%
- $69,000 or above99%
- $68,500 or above+1.0pt98%
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POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 7 - September 9, 2026?
- 40-64+39.3pt96%
- 65-89-29.7pt4%
- <40-24.4pt0%
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KALSHIWhen will Apple release the iPhone 18?
- Before April 2027+3.0pt71.8%
- Before March 202717.3%
- Before February 2027-1.0pt6.4%
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POLYMARKETWhich company has the best AI model end of September?
- Anthropic89.9%
- OpenAI-1.5pt8.1%
- Google-0.1pt2%
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Who will be the next CEO of X??
- A Kalshi cota Nikita Bier em 13% em 9 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Who will be the next CEO of X? é resolvido?
- Who will be the next CEO of X? deverá ser resolvido em 1 de janeiro de 2027.
- Como Who will be the next CEO of X? é liquidado?
- A Kalshi liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: If the named outcome is confirmed as CEO for X before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.