KalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatório2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoProbabilidade implícita atual
Before 2030 84%Líder entre 5 opções
Qualidade do mercado
44 / 100
Baixa qualidadeVolume 24h
—
Liquidez
200,1 €
Baixa liquidezSpread
2.0 pt
Spread apertadoDados do mercado
Atualizado há 3 minutos
17/06/26, 16:28 UTC1/01/28, 04:59 UTC
Tendências
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If a fourth Austin Powers movie has been publicly released in the United States through official channels before Before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida via:DeadlineEntertainment WeeklyFox NewsThe InformationMSNBCSemaforBloomberg NewsThe Wall Street JournalABCThe Hollywood ReporterReutersAxiosIMDbSpotifyNetflixVarietyCNNThe New York TimesNBCPoliticoThe Washington Postthe Associated PressCBS
- The media must be made available to the general public through at least one official distribution channel, including theatrical release, streaming availability, physical media (DVD, Blu-ray), or authorized digital purchase/download.
- The release must be accessible without special invitations or industry credentials in at least one major metropolitan area if the geography refers to a country.
- Private screenings, film festivals, leaked content, and torrent availability do not qualify.
- Trailers and soundtracks do not satisfy the criterion unless the full media is released.
- Different versions or formats of the same base content (theatrical, director's cut, extended edition) are considered the same media if the core content is substantially identical.
Mercados abertos
EntertainmentKALSHIEmmy winner: Outstanding Variety Series
- The Late Show with Stephen Colbert-4.0pt63.9%
- Tie+7.0pt29.6%
- Last Week Tonight with John Oliver-1.0pt2.8%
+3 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 295,1 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 47,9 mil
POLYMARKET# of views of next MrBeast Gaming video on day 1?
- 15–17.5M+27.5pt54.5%
- 17.5–20M+26.4pt43.6%
- 12.5–15M-14.2pt1%
+4 mais resultados
POLYMARKETEmmys 2026: Outstanding variety series
- “The Late Show With Stephen Colbert”-0.5pt76.3%
- “Jimmy Kimmel Live!”+2.2pt7.2%
- “The Daily Show”+2.2pt6.2%
+2 mais resultados
KALSHIOscar Winner: Best Picture
- The Odyssey54%
- Dune: Part Three12%
- The Black Ball11%
+37 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 4,5 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 44,3 mil
KALSHIPractical Magic 2 · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 35+34.0pt99%
- Above 30+1.0pt99%
- Above 2599%
+14 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 219,4 mil
- Volume 24h
POLYMARKETNext James Bond actor?
- No Bond chosen+14.6pt36%
- Jack Lowden-16.6pt20%
- Jack Barton-0.1pt12%
+21 mais resultados
- #2 US Netflix Show this week?
- "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by September 30?
- Big Brother Season 28 · Winner
- What will be the #2 US Netflix show this week?
- Who will win the Ballon d'Or this year?
- Grand Theft Auto VI: Release date
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- Runner · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Taylor Swift: Highest daily view count (September 7, 2026 - September 13, 2026)
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Austin Powers 4: Release Date?
- A Kalshi cota Before 2030 em 84% em 13 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Austin Powers 4: Release Date é resolvido?
- Austin Powers 4: Release Date deverá ser resolvido em 1 de janeiro de 2028.
- Como Austin Powers 4: Release Date é liquidado?
- A Kalshi liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: If a fourth Austin Powers movie has been publicly released in the United States through official channels before Before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.