KalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatório2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoProbabilidade implícita atual
Before Jan 1, 2029 69.5%Líder entre 4 opçõesAjustado pela margem: as cotações brutas somavam mais de 100% e foram normalizadas.
Qualidade do mercado
39 / 100
Baixa qualidadeVolume 24h
—
Liquidez
1,8 mil €
Baixa liquidezSpread
8.0 pt
Spread amploDados do mercado
Atualizado há 12 minutos
26/08/26, 19:09 UTC1/07/27, 03:59 UTC
Tendências
0%
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Manifold MarketsRegras
If next James Bond has been publicly released in the USA through official channels before the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida via:DeadlineEntertainment WeeklyFox NewsThe InformationMSNBCSemaforBloomberg NewsThe Wall Street JournalABCThe Hollywood ReporterReutersAxiosIMDbSpotifyNetflixVarietyCNNThe New York TimesNBCPoliticoThe Washington Postthe Associated PressCBS
- This is for the next film in the James Bond series, which goes back to Dr. No (1962); spin-offs and unauthorized productions are not included.
- The media must be made available to the general public through at least one official distribution channel, including theatrical release, streaming availability, physical media (DVD, Blu-ray), or authorized digital purchase/download.
- The release must be accessible without special invitations or industry credentials in at least one major metropolitan area if the geography refers to a country.
- Private screenings, film festivals, leaked content, and torrent availability do not qualify.
- Trailers and soundtracks do not satisfy the criterion unless the full media is released.
Mercados abertos
EntertainmentKALSHIEmmy winner: Outstanding Variety Series
- The Late Show with Stephen Colbert-4.0pt63.9%
- Tie+7.0pt29.6%
- Last Week Tonight with John Oliver-1.0pt2.8%
+3 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 295,1 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 47,9 mil
POLYMARKET# of views of next MrBeast Gaming video on day 1?
- 15–17.5M+27.5pt54.5%
- 17.5–20M+26.4pt43.6%
- 12.5–15M-14.2pt1%
+4 mais resultados
POLYMARKETEmmys 2026: Outstanding variety series
- “The Late Show With Stephen Colbert”-0.5pt76.3%
- “Jimmy Kimmel Live!”+2.2pt7.2%
- “The Daily Show”+2.2pt6.2%
+2 mais resultados
KALSHIOscar Winner: Best Picture
- The Odyssey54%
- Dune: Part Three12%
- The Black Ball11%
+37 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 4,5 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 44,3 mil
KALSHIPractical Magic 2 · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 35+34.0pt99%
- Above 30+1.0pt99%
- Above 2599%
+14 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 219,4 mil
- Volume 24h
POLYMARKETNext James Bond actor?
- No Bond chosen+14.6pt36%
- Jack Lowden-16.6pt20%
- Jack Barton-0.1pt12%
+21 mais resultados
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de James Bond · Release Date?
- A Kalshi cota Before Jan 1, 2029 em 70% em 13 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando James Bond · Release Date é resolvido?
- James Bond · Release Date deverá ser resolvido em 1 de julho de 2027.
- Como James Bond · Release Date é liquidado?
- A Kalshi liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: If next James Bond has been publicly released in the USA through official channels before the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.