KalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatório2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoProbabilidade implícita atual
Republicans, 40+ pts 42%Líder entre 9 opções
Qualidade do mercado
40 / 100
Baixa qualidadeVolume 24h
54,1 €
Liquidez
54,1 €
Baixa liquidezSpread
4.0 pt
Spread moderadoDados do mercado
Atualizado há 4 minutos
5/05/26, 20:26 UTC3/11/27, 15:00 UTC
Tendências
0%
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Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Regras
If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Utah's 3rd District by 25 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.
- For percentage points: the vote percentage received by the Republican Party minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind the Republican Party if the Republican Party wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if the Republican Party loses.
- Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound.
- No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin.
- For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range.
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Utah's 3rd District margin of victory?
- A Kalshi cota Republicans, 40+ pts em 42% em 9 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Utah's 3rd District margin of victory é resolvido?
- Utah's 3rd District margin of victory deverá ser resolvido em 3 de novembro de 2027.
- Como Utah's 3rd District margin of victory é liquidado?
- A Kalshi liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Utah's 3rd District by 25 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.