KalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatório2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoProbabilidade implícita atual
Democrats, 9+ pts 84%Líder entre 11 opções
Qualidade do mercado
44 / 100
Baixa qualidadeVolume 24h
—
Liquidez
1,8 mil €
Baixa liquidezSpread
4.0 pt
Spread moderadoDados do mercado
Atualizado há 3 minutos
28/04/26, 01:03 UTC3/11/27, 15:00 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Regras
If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. Senate election in New Mexico by 9 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.
- For percentage points: the vote percentage received by the Democratic Party minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind the Democratic Party if the Democratic Party wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if the Democratic Party loses.
- Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound.
- No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin.
- For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range.
Mercados abertos
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de New Mexico Senate margin of victory?
- A Kalshi cota Democrats, 9+ pts em 84% em 10 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando New Mexico Senate margin of victory é resolvido?
- New Mexico Senate margin of victory deverá ser resolvido em 3 de novembro de 2027.
- Como New Mexico Senate margin of victory é liquidado?
- A Kalshi liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. Senate election in New Mexico by 9 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.