Maryland's 8th District margin of victory
One-OffPolíticaPolítica dos EUAEleiçãoEleições de meio de mandato dos EUA 20261a
KalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatórioDados de resolução verificadosBem calibradoProbabilidade implícita atual
Raskin, 50+ pts 93%Líder entre 9 opções
Raskin, 50+ pts 93%Qualidade do mercado
34 / 100
Baixa qualidadeVolume 24h
—
Contratos em aberto
541,2 €
Contratos em aberto: baixoSpread
6.4 pt
Spread amploDados do mercado
Atualizado há 11 minutos
5/05/26, 20:23 UTC3/11/27, 15:00 UTC
Tendências
Condições da plataforma
Fonte: Kalshi
Estas condições são informativas; as operações simuladas da CoinRithm seguem regras próprias.
- Encerramento antecipado:
- Sim
- Prazo de liquidação:
- 30m (informativo)
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Regras
If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Maryland's 8th District by 62 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type. For percentage points: the vote percentage received by the Democratic Party minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind the Democratic Party if the Democratic Party wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if the Democratic Party loses. Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If the Democratic Party runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural the Democratic Party will be summed. If the Democratic Party wins the election, the margin will be positive. If the Democratic Party loses the election, the margin will be negative. If the Democratic Party ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where the Democratic Party is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes).
Regras de cada resultado
- Raskin, 50+ pts
- If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Maryland's 8th District by 50 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Raskin, 53+ pts
- If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Maryland's 8th District by 53 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Raskin, 56+ pts
- If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Maryland's 8th District by 56 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Raskin, 59+ pts
- If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Maryland's 8th District by 59 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Raskin, 62+ pts
- If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Maryland's 8th District by 62 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Raskin, 65+ pts
- If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Maryland's 8th District by 65 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Raskin, 68+ pts
- If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Maryland's 8th District by 68 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Raskin, 71+ pts
- If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Maryland's 8th District by 71 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Raskin, 74+ pts
- If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Maryland's 8th District by 74 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
