TBPN: Guests this year

17.0 pts (24h)TecnologiaYearlyBusiness & Corporate5m

KalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatório2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosCalibração aproximada

Probabilidade implícita atual

Alex Karp 96%

Líder entre 8 opções

Qualidade do mercado

31 / 100

Baixa qualidade

Volume 24h

32,5 €

Liquidez

1,5 mil €

Baixa liquidez

Compra / Venda

49.0% / 58.0%

Spread

9.0 pt

Spread amplo

Dados do mercado

Atualizado há 19 minutos

3/04/26, 14:001/01/27, 15:00

Tendências

Resultado24hProbabilidade

Apenas fundos simulados, sem dinheiro realIsto não é aconselhamento financeiro

Resultado escolhido

Marc Andreessen58%

Aposta (USDT)

Regras

If Sam Altman is on TBPN after April 03,2026 at 10:00AM and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

If Sam Altman appears solely in an advertisement, or solely via a prerecorded audioclip that was not recorded for purposes of TBPN (e.g., the host playing a portion of a speech or song excerpt by Sam Altman), the Payout Criterion is not satisfied.
If Mark Zuckerberg is on TBPN after April 03,2026 at 10:00AM and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
If Mark Zuckerberg appears solely in an advertisement, or solely via a prerecorded audioclip that was not recorded for purposes of TBPN (e.g., the host playing a portion of a speech or song excerpt by Mark Zuckerberg), the Payout Criterion is not satisfied.
If Satya Nadella is on TBPN after April 03,2026 at 10:00AM and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
If Satya Nadella appears solely in an advertisement, or solely via a prerecorded audioclip that was not recorded for purposes of TBPN (e.g., the host playing a portion of a speech or song excerpt by Satya Nadella), the Payout Criterion is not satisfied.

Tendência de volume

$37

3 de jul.6d de dados29 de jul.

Mercados Relacionados

Ink FDV above ___ one day after launch?

7,6 mil €

$100M: 41%

POLYMARKET

Will Lambda's valuation hit __ by December 31?

5,7 mil €

↑$8B: 100%

POLYMARKET

Will Stripe's valuation hit __ by December 31?

1,9 mil €

↓$170B: 100%

POLYMARKET

Will Tesla (TSLA) stock price be above 1500 by the end of 2026? (Ark Invest price target - base case)

1,3 mil €

Sim: 1.9%

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Number of US data centers at the end of 2026?

227,1 €

At least 5,200: 49%

KALSHI

Who will acquire Pinterest this year?

29,9 €

Amazon: 6%

KALSHI

Ativos nestes tópicos

BitcoinBTC$64,408.02+1.56%

EthereumETH$1,914.72+1.63%

DogecoinDOGE$0.0707+0.79%

BNBBNB$571.23+1.02%

SolanaSOL$73.94+0.79%

XRPXRP$1.09+2.89%

Notícias Relacionadas

Robinhood built its own chain. It still pays rent.Crypto News

Galaxy Digital plans 74 MW McGregor data centerCrypto News

Visa Q3 revenue rises 14% as crypto push expandsCrypto News

Claude Mythos Cracked Post-Quantum Cryptography That Humans Spent Years Failing to BreakDecrypt

Ionic Digital jumps 25% in Nasdaq debut after expanding Celsius bitcoin mining assets into AI infrastructureThe Block

The Dumbest-Looking AI Prompt Just Beat Months of Careful Game-Design Prompt EngineeringDecrypt

Regras

If Sam Altman is on TBPN after April 03,2026 at 10:00AM and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

If Sam Altman appears solely in an advertisement, or solely via a prerecorded audioclip that was not recorded for purposes of TBPN (e.g., the host playing a portion of a speech or song excerpt by Sam Altman), the Payout Criterion is not satisfied.
If Mark Zuckerberg is on TBPN after April 03,2026 at 10:00AM and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
If Mark Zuckerberg appears solely in an advertisement, or solely via a prerecorded audioclip that was not recorded for purposes of TBPN (e.g., the host playing a portion of a speech or song excerpt by Mark Zuckerberg), the Payout Criterion is not satisfied.
If Satya Nadella is on TBPN after April 03,2026 at 10:00AM and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
If Satya Nadella appears solely in an advertisement, or solely via a prerecorded audioclip that was not recorded for purposes of TBPN (e.g., the host playing a portion of a speech or song excerpt by Satya Nadella), the Payout Criterion is not satisfied.

TBPN: Guests this year

17.0 pts (24h)TecnologiaYearlyBusiness & Corporate5m

KalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatório2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosCalibração aproximada

Probabilidade implícita atual

Alex Karp 96%

Líder entre 8 opções

Qualidade do mercado

31 / 100

Baixa qualidade

Volume 24h

32,5 €

Liquidez

1,5 mil €

Baixa liquidez

Compra / Venda

49.0% / 58.0%

Spread

9.0 pt

Spread amplo

Dados do mercado

Atualizado há 19 minutos

3/04/26, 14:001/01/27, 15:00

Tendências

Resultado24hProbabilidade

Apenas fundos simulados, sem dinheiro realIsto não é aconselhamento financeiro

Resultado escolhido

Marc Andreessen58%

Aposta (USDT)

Regras

If Sam Altman is on TBPN after April 03,2026 at 10:00AM and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

If Sam Altman appears solely in an advertisement, or solely via a prerecorded audioclip that was not recorded for purposes of TBPN (e.g., the host playing a portion of a speech or song excerpt by Sam Altman), the Payout Criterion is not satisfied.
If Mark Zuckerberg is on TBPN after April 03,2026 at 10:00AM and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
If Mark Zuckerberg appears solely in an advertisement, or solely via a prerecorded audioclip that was not recorded for purposes of TBPN (e.g., the host playing a portion of a speech or song excerpt by Mark Zuckerberg), the Payout Criterion is not satisfied.
If Satya Nadella is on TBPN after April 03,2026 at 10:00AM and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
If Satya Nadella appears solely in an advertisement, or solely via a prerecorded audioclip that was not recorded for purposes of TBPN (e.g., the host playing a portion of a speech or song excerpt by Satya Nadella), the Payout Criterion is not satisfied.

Tendência de volume

$37

3 de jul.6d de dados29 de jul.

Mercados Relacionados

Ink FDV above ___ one day after launch?

7,6 mil €

$100M: 41%

POLYMARKET

Will Lambda's valuation hit __ by December 31?

5,7 mil €

↑$8B: 100%

POLYMARKET

Will Stripe's valuation hit __ by December 31?

1,9 mil €

↓$170B: 100%

POLYMARKET

Will Tesla (TSLA) stock price be above 1500 by the end of 2026? (Ark Invest price target - base case)

1,3 mil €

Sim: 1.9%

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Number of US data centers at the end of 2026?

227,1 €

At least 5,200: 49%

KALSHI

Who will acquire Pinterest this year?

29,9 €

Amazon: 6%

KALSHI

Ativos nestes tópicos

BitcoinBTC$64,408.02+1.56%

EthereumETH$1,914.72+1.63%

DogecoinDOGE$0.0707+0.79%

BNBBNB$571.23+1.02%

SolanaSOL$73.94+0.79%

XRPXRP$1.09+2.89%

Notícias Relacionadas

Robinhood built its own chain. It still pays rent.Crypto News

Galaxy Digital plans 74 MW McGregor data centerCrypto News

Visa Q3 revenue rises 14% as crypto push expandsCrypto News

Claude Mythos Cracked Post-Quantum Cryptography That Humans Spent Years Failing to BreakDecrypt

Ionic Digital jumps 25% in Nasdaq debut after expanding Celsius bitcoin mining assets into AI infrastructureThe Block

The Dumbest-Looking AI Prompt Just Beat Months of Careful Game-Design Prompt EngineeringDecrypt

Regras

If Sam Altman is on TBPN after April 03,2026 at 10:00AM and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

If Sam Altman appears solely in an advertisement, or solely via a prerecorded audioclip that was not recorded for purposes of TBPN (e.g., the host playing a portion of a speech or song excerpt by Sam Altman), the Payout Criterion is not satisfied.
If Mark Zuckerberg is on TBPN after April 03,2026 at 10:00AM and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
If Mark Zuckerberg appears solely in an advertisement, or solely via a prerecorded audioclip that was not recorded for purposes of TBPN (e.g., the host playing a portion of a speech or song excerpt by Mark Zuckerberg), the Payout Criterion is not satisfied.
If Satya Nadella is on TBPN after April 03,2026 at 10:00AM and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
If Satya Nadella appears solely in an advertisement, or solely via a prerecorded audioclip that was not recorded for purposes of TBPN (e.g., the host playing a portion of a speech or song excerpt by Satya Nadella), the Payout Criterion is not satisfied.