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  1. Mercados de Previsão
  2. Política
  3. Makerfield by-election winner?
Makerfield by-election winner?

Makerfield by-election winner?

One-OffPolíticaEleição1a
KalshiKalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatório2% de taxa
Probabilidade implícita atual
Restore Britain
Restore Britain 1%
Líder entre 6 opções
Qualidade do mercado

52 / 100

Qualidade média
Volume 24h

467,7 €

Liquidez

3,5 mil €

Liquidez média
Compra / Venda

1.0% / 2.0%

Spread

100.0%

Spread amplo
Dados do mercado

Atualizado há 2 minutos

16/05/26, 11:301/01/28, 15:00

Tendências

Resultado24hProbabilidade

Resultado escolhido

Restore Britain1%

SmarketsTambém disponível em Smarkets

Smarkets

Makerfield By-Election - Winner

Smarkets
Green
0.1%
Smarkets
Labour
82.6%
Smarkets
Reform UK
12.5%

+1 mais resultados

28 • Baixa qualidadeSpread desconhecidoBaixa liquidezMercado raso
Volume total0 €
Volume 24h0 €
SmarketsSMARKETS

PolymarketTambém disponível em Polymarket

Makerfield by-election Winner

Makerfield by-election Winner

0.1%6d
Andy Burnham
Andy Burnham
+1.0%86%
Robert Kenyon
Robert Kenyon
-2.0%13%
Rebecca Shepherd
Rebecca Shepherd
-0.1%3%

+30 mais resultados

73 • Qualidade médiaSpread amploAlta liquidez
Volume total2,8 M €
Volume 24h147,9 mil €
PolymarketPOLYMARKET

Regras

If the Labour party wins the 2026 Makerfield by-election, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • For parliamentary elections, the party or coalition with the most seats wins.
  • If two parties tie in seats: the one entering government will resolve to YES and all others to NO If both or neither enter government, the one with the higher share of the vote will resolve to YES and all others to NO For coalitions/alliances, only those formally registered with electoral authorities before the nomination deadline count, not post-election governing arrangements Overhang seats, leveling seats, and appointed seats count only if specified
  • For referenda/plebiscites, the specified option achieves the required threshold per applicable law (simple majority, supermajority, dual majority, turnout requirements).
  • If multiple thresholds exist (e.g., majority of votes AND majority of states), all must be met
  • For presidential or direct elections, the candidate who wins according to the electoral system (electoral college, popular vote, or runoff as applicable) and either (i) is inaugurated/sworn in/takes office, or (ii) the scheduled inauguration date passes without a different candidate taking office is the winner.

Os dados de comparação são apenas informativos. Preços e liquidez podem variar.

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Ativos nestes tópicos

BitcoinBTC$62,632.64+2.54%EthereumETH$1,651.33+2.14%SolanaSOL$65.09+1.78%DogecoinDOGE$0.085+2.01%XRPXRP$1.12+0.55%BNBBNB$594.43+1.80%

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Regras

If the Labour party wins the 2026 Makerfield by-election, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • For parliamentary elections, the party or coalition with the most seats wins.
  • If two parties tie in seats: the one entering government will resolve to YES and all others to NO If both or neither enter government, the one with the higher share of the vote will resolve to YES and all others to NO For coalitions/alliances, only those formally registered with electoral authorities before the nomination deadline count, not post-election governing arrangements Overhang seats, leveling seats, and appointed seats count only if specified
  • For referenda/plebiscites, the specified option achieves the required threshold per applicable law (simple majority, supermajority, dual majority, turnout requirements).
  • If multiple thresholds exist (e.g., majority of votes AND majority of states), all must be met
  • For presidential or direct elections, the candidate who wins according to the electoral system (electoral college, popular vote, or runoff as applicable) and either (i) is inaugurated/sworn in/takes office, or (ii) the scheduled inauguration date passes without a different candidate taking office is the winner.