KalshiFechadoVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatório2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosCalibração aproximadaEste mercado foi resolvido: Labour (99%)
Resolvido: 19 de jun. de 2026, 03:28
Resolução verificada pelo provedor
A CoinRithm tem evidência do provedor para o vencedor e o horário de liquidação deste mercado.
Resultado Vencedor
Labour
A 7 dias
—
A 24 horas
89%
ConsensoProbabilidade implícita atualLabour 95.2%+10.0ptLíder entre 6 opções
Qualidade do mercado
39 / 100
Baixa qualidadeVolume 24h
144,2 mil €
Liquidez
9,2 mil €
Liquidez médiaCompra / Venda
- / 1.0%
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 38 dias
Desatualizado16/05/26, 11:301/01/28, 15:00
Linha do Tempo de Probabilidade
Labour99%
Reform UK9%
1%
95.2%
1%
1%
1%
1%
Este mercado fechou. O trading simulado só está disponível em mercados abertos.
Comparar plataformas· Labour
Classificado por qualidade de mercado, depois liquidez e volume de 24h| Plataforma | Qualidade | Probabilidade | vs. referência | Volume 24h | Liquidez | Atualização | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketMelhor no geral80% de correspondência · auto | Baixa | 100% | — | 4,4 mil € | 0 € | há 37 dias | Abrir → |
| KalshiEsta páginaMais ativa | Baixa | 99% | — | 144,2 mil € | 9,2 mil € | há 38 dias | |
 Smarkets88% de correspondência · auto | Baixa | 90% | — | 0 € | 0 € | há 39 dias | Abrir → |
Também disponível em Smarkets
Makerfield By-Election - Winner
Fechados
91.3%
8.4%
0.2%
14 • Baixa qualidadeSpread desconhecidoBaixa liquidezMercado raso
Volume total0 €
Volume 24h0 €
SMARKETSTambém disponível em Polymarket
Makerfield by-election Winner
12.9 ptsFechados
Resolvido
Andy Burnham (100%)
+12.9pt100%
0%
0%
+30 mais resultados
49 • Baixa qualidadeSpread apertadoBaixa liquidez
Volume total7,7 M €
Volume 24h4,4 mil €
POLYMARKETRegras
If the Labour party wins the 2026 Makerfield by-election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- For parliamentary elections, the party or coalition with the most seats wins.
- If two parties tie in seats: the one entering government will resolve to YES and all others to NO If both or neither enter government, the one with the higher share of the vote will resolve to YES and all others to NO For coalitions/alliances, only those formally registered with electoral authorities before the nomination deadline count, not post-election governing arrangements Overhang seats, leveling seats, and appointed seats count only if specified
- For referenda/plebiscites, the specified option achieves the required threshold per applicable law (simple majority, supermajority, dual majority, turnout requirements).
- If multiple thresholds exist (e.g., majority of votes AND majority of states), all must be met
- For presidential or direct elections, the candidate who wins according to the electoral system (electoral college, popular vote, or runoff as applicable) and either (i) is inaugurated/sworn in/takes office, or (ii) the scheduled inauguration date passes without a different candidate taking office is the winner.
Os dados de comparação são apenas informativos. Preços e liquidez podem variar.
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If the Labour party wins the 2026 Makerfield by-election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- For parliamentary elections, the party or coalition with the most seats wins.
- If two parties tie in seats: the one entering government will resolve to YES and all others to NO If both or neither enter government, the one with the higher share of the vote will resolve to YES and all others to NO For coalitions/alliances, only those formally registered with electoral authorities before the nomination deadline count, not post-election governing arrangements Overhang seats, leveling seats, and appointed seats count only if specified
- For referenda/plebiscites, the specified option achieves the required threshold per applicable law (simple majority, supermajority, dual majority, turnout requirements).
- If multiple thresholds exist (e.g., majority of votes AND majority of states), all must be met
- For presidential or direct elections, the candidate who wins according to the electoral system (electoral college, popular vote, or runoff as applicable) and either (i) is inaugurated/sworn in/takes office, or (ii) the scheduled inauguration date passes without a different candidate taking office is the winner.