Probabilidade implícita atual
Restore Britain 1%Líder entre 6 opções
Qualidade do mercado
52 / 100
Qualidade médiaVolume 24h
467,7 €
Liquidez
3,5 mil €
Liquidez médiaCompra / Venda
1.0% / 2.0%
Spread
100.0%
Spread amploDados do mercado
Atualizado há 2 minutos
16/05/26, 11:301/01/28, 15:00
Tendências
Resultado escolhido
Restore Britain1%
Também disponível em Smarkets
Makerfield By-Election - Winner
0.1%
82.6%
12.5%
+1 mais resultados
28 • Baixa qualidadeSpread desconhecidoBaixa liquidezMercado raso
Volume total0 €
Volume 24h0 €
SMARKETS
Também disponível em Polymarket
Makerfield by-election Winner
0.1%6d
+1.0%86%
-2.0%13%
-0.1%3%
+30 mais resultados
73 • Qualidade médiaSpread amploAlta liquidez
Volume total2,8 M €
Volume 24h147,9 mil €
POLYMARKETRegras
If the Labour party wins the 2026 Makerfield by-election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- For parliamentary elections, the party or coalition with the most seats wins.
- If two parties tie in seats: the one entering government will resolve to YES and all others to NO If both or neither enter government, the one with the higher share of the vote will resolve to YES and all others to NO For coalitions/alliances, only those formally registered with electoral authorities before the nomination deadline count, not post-election governing arrangements Overhang seats, leveling seats, and appointed seats count only if specified
- For referenda/plebiscites, the specified option achieves the required threshold per applicable law (simple majority, supermajority, dual majority, turnout requirements).
- If multiple thresholds exist (e.g., majority of votes AND majority of states), all must be met
- For presidential or direct elections, the candidate who wins according to the electoral system (electoral college, popular vote, or runoff as applicable) and either (i) is inaugurated/sworn in/takes office, or (ii) the scheduled inauguration date passes without a different candidate taking office is the winner.
Os dados de comparação são apenas informativos. Preços e liquidez podem variar.
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If the Labour party wins the 2026 Makerfield by-election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- For parliamentary elections, the party or coalition with the most seats wins.
- If two parties tie in seats: the one entering government will resolve to YES and all others to NO If both or neither enter government, the one with the higher share of the vote will resolve to YES and all others to NO For coalitions/alliances, only those formally registered with electoral authorities before the nomination deadline count, not post-election governing arrangements Overhang seats, leveling seats, and appointed seats count only if specified
- For referenda/plebiscites, the specified option achieves the required threshold per applicable law (simple majority, supermajority, dual majority, turnout requirements).
- If multiple thresholds exist (e.g., majority of votes AND majority of states), all must be met
- For presidential or direct elections, the candidate who wins according to the electoral system (electoral college, popular vote, or runoff as applicable) and either (i) is inaugurated/sworn in/takes office, or (ii) the scheduled inauguration date passes without a different candidate taking office is the winner.