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Aviso de qualidade dos dadosSem cotações ao vivo
Dados de 27 de out. de 2026, 22:55 UTC · política pm-quality-4
Probabilidade implícita atual
Before Nov 1, 2026 1%
Before Nov 1, 2026 1%Qualidade do mercado
30 / 100
Baixa qualidadeVolume 24h
—
Contratos em aberto
4,9 mil US$
Contratos em aberto: médioCompra / Venda
- / 100.0%
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 12 minutos
27/07/26, 21:28 UTC1/09/26, 03:59 UTC
Tendências
Before Nov 1, 20261%
Before Sep 1, 2026Perdeu
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KalshiRegras
A regra exata deste resultado não está disponível.
Liquida via:Sylvia LukeThe Wall Street JournalBloomberg NewsThe Washington Postthe Associated PressFox NewsReutersOffice of the Lieutenant Governor of HawaiiCNNthe New York TimesPolitico
- Sylvia Luke must have an actual departure date and vacate the role within the time period. If the person leaves the role due to death (i.e., if the person dies while holding the role), all contracts on the person may resolve to the last fair price as determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange. Temporary leaves of absence, suspensions, or recusals do not constitute leaving, resigning from, or retiring from the role unless the individual formally and permanently ceases to hold the position. If the person vacates the role and then re-occupies the role, the contract may settle on the initial vacation of the role. For "leave," cessation of holding the role qualifies, including resignation, retirement, removal, expulsion, expiration of term without renewal, recall, or other means by which the individual no longer occupies the role—this includes both voluntary and involuntary early departure AND the natural expiration of a term.
Regras de cada resultado
- Before Sep 1, 2026
- If Sylvia Luke leaves as Lieutenant Governor of Hawaii before Sep 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Nov 1, 2026
- If Sylvia Luke leaves as Lieutenant Governor of Hawaii before Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.