KalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatórioDados de resolução verificadosBem calibradoProbabilidade implícita atual
55° to 56° 60.4%Líder entre 6 opçõesAjustado pela margem: as cotações brutas somavam mais de 100% e foram normalizadas.
55° to 56° 60.4%Qualidade do mercado
32 / 100
Baixa qualidadeVolume 24h
706,4 €
Contratos em aberto
672 €
Contratos em aberto: baixoDados do mercado
Atualizado há 4 minutos
30/09/26, 14:00 UTC2/10/26, 08:00 UTC
Tendências
Condições da plataforma
Fonte: Kalshi
Estas condições são informativas; as operações simuladas da CoinRithm seguem regras próprias.
- Encerramento antecipado:
- Sim
- Prazo de liquidação:
- 5m (informativo)
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Lowest temperature in San Francisco on Sep 30, 2026?
KalshiWill the lowest temperature in San Francisco (SF)(SFO)(KSFO) be below 55 F on September 30, 2026? (minimum) (min) (coldest)?
ForecastExWill the lowest temperature in San Francisco (SF)(SFO)(KSFO) be below 58 F on September 30, 2026? (minimum) (min) (coldest)?
ForecastExWill the lowest temperature in San Francisco (SF)(SFO)(KSFO) be below 56 F on September 30, 2026? (minimum) (min) (coldest)?
ForecastExWill the lowest temperature in San Francisco (SF)(SFO)(KSFO) be below 57 F on September 30, 2026? (minimum) (min) (coldest)?
ForecastExLowest temperature in San Francisco on October 1?
PolymarketRegras
If the minimum temperature recorded at San Francisco (CLISFO) for Oct 1, 2026, is between 55-56° fahrenheit according to The Weather Company, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida via:The Weather Company
- Not all weather data is the same. While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the maximum/minimum temperature as reported by the Weather Company. Reading weather data Preliminary Weather Company data may be subject to rounding and conversion differences from the final reported value. Use caution when interpreting preliminary Weather Company readings. If it is determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange that there is a material error in the initial non-preliminary publication, Expiration may be held until the publication of a non-materially-erroneous data revision or until the Expiration Date, whichever comes first. If no data is available at the end of this period, all markets will resolve to the last fair price determined by Kalshi. Please note, a status of "Final" on weather.com/kalshi is provided for convenience only, and does not guarantee data to be error-free and thus exempt from the above.
Regras de cada resultado
- 55° to 56°
- If the minimum temperature recorded at San Francisco (CLISFO) for Oct 1, 2026, is between 55-56° fahrenheit according to The Weather Company, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 57° to 58°
- If the minimum temperature recorded at San Francisco (CLISFO) for Oct 1, 2026, is between 57-58° fahrenheit according to The Weather Company, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 53° to 54°
- If the minimum temperature recorded at San Francisco (CLISFO) for Oct 1, 2026, is between 53-54° fahrenheit according to The Weather Company, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 59° or above
- If the minimum temperature recorded at San Francisco (CLISFO) for Oct 1, 2026, is greater than 58° fahrenheit according to The Weather Company, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 50° or below
- If the minimum temperature recorded at San Francisco (CLISFO) for Oct 1, 2026, is less than 51° fahrenheit according to The Weather Company, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 51° to 52°
- If the minimum temperature recorded at San Francisco (CLISFO) for Oct 1, 2026, is between 51-52° fahrenheit according to The Weather Company, then the market resolves to Yes.