KalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatórioDados de resolução verificadosBem calibradoPonto médio do livro selecionado
Exactly 2 · —
A carregar o livro selecionado…
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Preço registado
Exactly 2 36%Líder entre 6 opções
Exactly 2 36%Qualidade do mercado
≤49 / 100
Baixa qualidadeVolume 24h
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Contratos em aberto
21,6 mil US$
Contratos em aberto: médioCompra / Venda
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Exactly 2Spread
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Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 43 minutos
16/09/25, 21:00 UTC31/12/26, 15:00 UTC
O gráfico e as variações mostram probabilidades históricas guardadas, não o livro selecionado em tempo real.
Tendências
Linha selecionada: ponto médio do livro. Outras linhas: referências guardadas, possivelmente normalizadas; as variações de 24h usam o histórico guardado.
Condições da plataforma
Fonte: Kalshi
Estas condições são informativas; as operações simuladas da CoinRithm seguem regras próprias.
- Encerramento antecipado:
- Sim
- Prazo de liquidação:
- 30m (informativo)
Profundidade de mercado · Exactly 2
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Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
How many Democratic Senators will lose reelection in 2026?
KalshiHow many Republican senators will lose reelection in 2026?
KalshiWill the MAGA ‘Moderates’ all lose reelection?
Manifold MarketsHow many House Democrats will lose reelection in 2026?
KalshiHow many House Republicans will lose reelection in 2026?
KalshiWhich CA governors will build more housing in 2027?
Manifold MarketsRegras
If exactly 2 governors lose re-election in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida via:New York Timesthe Associated PressBloomberg NewsCNNNBCABCCBSFox NewsThe Wall Street JournalThe Washington PostPoliticoBallotpediaofficial state or local election division websitesReutersThe Cook Political ReportSabato's Crystal Ball
- Members count as losing re-election if they actively seek re-election (by filing candidacy or appearing on ballot) but fail to win. This includes losses in primaries, general elections, runoffs, retention elections, or recalls. Members who retire, withdraw before primaries, die, resign, or are disqualified do not count as losses. If redistricting forces two group members against each other, the loser counts. Members who switch parties after issuance remain part of the original group. If a member loses their party primary but wins as an independent, they did not lose re-election.
Regras de cada resultado
- Exactly 2
- If exactly 2 governors lose re-election in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Exactly 3
- If exactly 3 governors lose re-election in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Exactly 1
- If exactly 1 governor lose re-election in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Exactly 4
- If exactly 4 governors lose re-election in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 5 or more
- If at least 5 governors lose re-election in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Exactly 0
- If exactly 0 governors lose re-election in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
