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  3. How many Governors will lose reelection in 2026?
How many Governors will lose reelection in 2026?

How many Governors will lose reelection in 2026?

YearlyPolíticaUS PoliticsEleição6m
KalshiKalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatório2% de taxa
Probabilidade implícita atual
Exactly 0
Exactly 0 15%
Líder entre 6 opções
Qualidade do mercado

24 / 100

Baixa qualidade
Volume 24h

0 €

Liquidez

12,6 €

Baixa liquidez
Compra / Venda

8.0% / 15.0%

Spread

87.5%

Spread amplo
Dados do mercado

Atualizado há 8 minutos

16/09/25, 21:0031/12/26, 15:00

Tendências

Resultado24hProbabilidade

Resultado escolhido

Exactly 015%

Regras

If exactly 0 governors lose re-election in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • Members count as losing re-election if they actively seek re-election (by filing candidacy or appearing on ballot) but fail to win.
  • This includes losses in primaries, general elections, runoffs, retention elections, or recalls.
  • Members who retire, withdraw before primaries, die, resign, or are disqualified do not count as losses.
  • If redistricting forces two group members against each other, the loser counts.
  • Members who switch parties after issuance remain part of the original group.

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Regras

If exactly 0 governors lose re-election in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • Members count as losing re-election if they actively seek re-election (by filing candidacy or appearing on ballot) but fail to win.
  • This includes losses in primaries, general elections, runoffs, retention elections, or recalls.
  • Members who retire, withdraw before primaries, die, resign, or are disqualified do not count as losses.
  • If redistricting forces two group members against each other, the loser counts.
  • Members who switch parties after issuance remain part of the original group.