KalshiFechadoVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatório2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosCalibração aproximadaEste mercado está fechado e aguardando uma resolução confirmada.
Dados de resolução não verificados
Este resultado é inferido ou não é apoiado por evidência de liquidação de nível provedor.
Probabilidade implícita atualRuben Gallego 3%-2.0ptLíder entre 9 opções
Qualidade do mercado
10 / 100
Baixa qualidadeVolume 24h
52,5 €
Liquidez
783,1 €
Baixa liquidezCompra / Venda
- / 100.0%
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 25 dias
Desatualizado14/04/26, 16:001/07/26, 3:59
Tendências
3%
2%
1%
1%
1%
1%
Este mercado fechou. O trading simulado só está disponível em mercados abertos.
Comparar plataformas· Ruben Gallego
Classificado por qualidade de mercado, depois liquidez e volume de 24h| Plataforma | Qualidade | Probabilidade | vs. referência | Volume 24h | Liquidez | Atualização | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KalshiEsta páginaMelhor no geral | Baixa | 3% | — | 52,5 € | 783,1 € | há 25 dias | |
 Manifold Markets82% de correspondência · auto | — | 0% | — | — | — | há 19 dias | Abrir → |
Também disponível em Manifold Markets
Who will leave Congress before July? (Kalshi)
Fechados
Resolvido
Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick (100%)
100%
0%
0%
+2 mais resultados
Previsão da comunidade6 previsoresTipo: multiple choice
MANIFOLD MARKETSRegras
If Ruben Gallego leaves as Senator before July 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Ruben Gallego must have an actual departure date and vacate the role within the time period.
- If the person leaves the role due to death (i.e., if the person dies while holding the role), all contracts on the person may resolve to the last fair price as determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange.
- Temporary leaves of absence, suspensions, or recusals do not constitute leaving, resigning from, or retiring from the role unless the individual formally and permanently ceases to hold the position.
- If the person vacates the role and then re-occupies the role, the contract may settle on the initial vacation of the role.
- If the role otherwise ceases to exist with no plausible successor, the contract may resolve to "No."
Os dados de comparação são apenas informativos. Preços e liquidez podem variar.
Mercados Relacionados
2028 Democratic presidential nominee
1,1 M €Kamala Harris: 10%KALSHI
KALSHI
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
1 M €Robert F. Kennedy Jr.: 49%
POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
921,4 mil €July 18: 100%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
What will Trump say this week?
728,7 mil €Cuba / Cuban: 1%KALSHI
KALSHI
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
451,3 mil €Gavin Newsom: 20%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner?
365,4 mil €Kamala Harris: 5%KALSHI
KALSHIAtivos nestes tópicos
Notícias Relacionadas
Polymarket Account in Farage Backer's Name Took $9M in Crypto From Unknown Sources: FTDecrypt
Polymarket odds lift Lula to 60.5% in Brazil race as Russia sanctions vote nearsBlockchain.News
Polymarket odds jump: US-Iran invasion risk hits 30.5% after tariff newsBlockchain.NewsPolymarket 2028 odds: Vance leads at 19.85% as voter-roll claims circulateBlockchain.News
Polymarket odds lift Le Pen to 31% in 2027 French election marketBlockchain.News
Polymarket prices Lula at 60.5% in Brazil race after +11pp jumpBlockchain.NewsRegras
If Ruben Gallego leaves as Senator before July 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Ruben Gallego must have an actual departure date and vacate the role within the time period.
- If the person leaves the role due to death (i.e., if the person dies while holding the role), all contracts on the person may resolve to the last fair price as determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange.
- Temporary leaves of absence, suspensions, or recusals do not constitute leaving, resigning from, or retiring from the role unless the individual formally and permanently ceases to hold the position.
- If the person vacates the role and then re-occupies the role, the contract may settle on the initial vacation of the role.
- If the role otherwise ceases to exist with no plausible successor, the contract may resolve to "No."