KalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatório2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoProbabilidade implícita atual
0 88.3%-1.0ptLíder entre 5 opçõesAjustado pela margem: as cotações brutas somavam mais de 100% e foram normalizadas.
Qualidade do mercado
61 / 100
Qualidade médiaVolume 24h
834,3 €
Liquidez
5,1 mil €
Liquidez médiaSpread
4.0 pt
Spread moderadoDados do mercado
Atualizado há 2 minutos
1/09/26, 14:00 UTC1/10/26, 14:00 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
How many times will Trump visit his D.C. golf club in Sep 2026?
KalshiHow many times will Donald Trump visit Trump Bedminster in Sep 2026?
KalshiWho will visit Mar-a-Lago in 2026?
KalshiWill they announce a presidential library at Trump's Mar-A-Lago by the end of 2028?
Manifold MarketsHow many times will the Trump admin and/or NVIDIA flip-flop on giving NVIDIA chips to China before 2028? (fun)
Manifold MarketsHow many more times will Trump publicly praise Allah in 2026?
Manifold MarketsRegras
If Trump makes exactly 0 trips to Mar-a-Lago in Sep 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- A single visit begins when the President arrives in Mar-a-Lago and ends when the President has returned to the White House.
- A visit need not end to be included – i.e. if Sep 2026 ends with the President still there, that visit counts for the purposes of the count.
- If the President is in Mar-a-Lago at the beginning of Sep 2026, that will count as a visit.
- If Trump makes exactly 1 trips to Mar-a-Lago in Sep 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Trump makes exactly 2 trips to Mar-a-Lago in Sep 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
