Probabilidade implícita atual
Giorgia Meloni 43.6%Líder entre 11 opçõesAjustado pela margem: as cotações brutas somavam mais de 100% e foram normalizadas.
Qualidade do mercado
38 / 100
Baixa qualidadeVolume 24h
—
Liquidez
6,5 mil €
Liquidez médiaSpread
7.0 pt
Spread amploDados do mercado
Atualizado há 7 minutos
11/08/26, 00:32 UTC22/12/28, 15:00 UTC
Tendências
Regras
If the named outcome becomes Prime Minister of Italy as a result of government formation following the next Italian general election and meets all constitutional requirements before Dec 22, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The market resolves to the first person who, as a result of government formation following the election, is formally appointed, sworn in, or invested as Prime Minister according to the country's constitutional procedures, commands the confidence of the parliament/legislature, and exercises the full powers of the office (not serving in a caretaker/acting capacity from the previous government).
- If no government forms by Dec 22, 2028, the Contract resolves to "No one" if that is an option and No for all other strikes.
- If new elections are called before government formation, the Contract resolves to "No one" immediately and No for all other strikes.
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Who will become Prime Minister of Italy following the next general election??
- A Kalshi cota Giorgia Meloni em 44% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Who will become Prime Minister of Italy following the next general election? é resolvido?
- Who will become Prime Minister of Italy following the next general election? deverá ser resolvido em 22 de dezembro de 2028.
- Como Who will become Prime Minister of Italy following the next general election? é liquidado?
- A Kalshi liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: If the named outcome becomes Prime Minister of Italy as a result of government formation following the next Italian general election and meets all constitutional requirements before Dec 22, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.