Israeli legislative election: % of vote below threshold
2.0 pts (24h)PolíticaOne-OffEleiçãoOriente Médio3m
KalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatórioDados de resolução verificadosBem calibradoPonto médio do livro selecionado
At least 4% · —
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Preço registado
At least 4% 80%Líder entre 9 opções
At least 4% 80%Qualidade do mercado
40 / 100
Baixa qualidadeVolume 24h
1,4 mil €
Contratos em aberto
3,7 mil US$
Contratos em aberto: médioCompra / Venda
— / —
At least 4%Spread
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Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 32 minutos
22/10/26, 22:00 UTC3/02/27, 15:00 UTC
O gráfico e as variações mostram probabilidades históricas guardadas, não o livro selecionado em tempo real.
Tendências
Linha selecionada: ponto médio do livro. Outras linhas: referências guardadas, possivelmente normalizadas; as variações de 24h usam o histórico guardado.
Condições da plataforma
Fonte: Kalshi
Estas condições são informativas; as operações simuladas da CoinRithm seguem regras próprias.
- Encerramento antecipado:
- Sim
- Prazo de liquidação:
- 30m (informativo)
Profundidade de mercado · At least 4%
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KalshiRegras
If the combined share of valid votes cast for lists below the 3.25% electoral threshold in the Central Elections Committee for the Knesset’s first official final results is at least 6% in the October 27, 2026 Israeli legislative election, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida via:Central Elections Committee for the Knesset
- The value is the combined percentage of valid votes cast for all lists that fail the 3.25% electoral threshold in Israel’s October 27, 2026 Knesset election (the lists allocated no seats), calculated as 100 × (the sum of the votes received by those lists ÷ total valid votes) using the per-list vote totals and total valid votes in the Central Elections Committee for the Knesset’s first official final results, rounded to two decimal places. Whether a list passes the threshold is decided on unrounded vote totals: a list whose unrounded share is 3.25% or more is not counted, and only the combined value is rounded. A joint list counts as one list. A list that has withdrawn from the race but remains on the ballot is counted if the results record votes for it. Preliminary results do not qualify. Invalid ballots are excluded from the numerator and the denominator. If no qualifying results are released by expiration, the market resolves to the last fair price as determined by the Exchange.
Regras de cada resultado
- At least 4%
- If the combined share of valid votes cast for lists below the 3.25% electoral threshold in the Central Elections Committee for the Knesset’s first official final results is at least 4% in the October 27, 2026 Israeli legislative election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 5%
- If the combined share of valid votes cast for lists below the 3.25% electoral threshold in the Central Elections Committee for the Knesset’s first official final results is at least 5% in the October 27, 2026 Israeli legislative election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 6%
- If the combined share of valid votes cast for lists below the 3.25% electoral threshold in the Central Elections Committee for the Knesset’s first official final results is at least 6% in the October 27, 2026 Israeli legislative election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 8%
- If the combined share of valid votes cast for lists below the 3.25% electoral threshold in the Central Elections Committee for the Knesset’s first official final results is at least 8% in the October 27, 2026 Israeli legislative election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 9%
- If the combined share of valid votes cast for lists below the 3.25% electoral threshold in the Central Elections Committee for the Knesset’s first official final results is at least 9% in the October 27, 2026 Israeli legislative election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 2%
- If the combined share of valid votes cast for lists below the 3.25% electoral threshold in the Central Elections Committee for the Knesset’s first official final results is at least 2% in the October 27, 2026 Israeli legislative election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 3%
- If the combined share of valid votes cast for lists below the 3.25% electoral threshold in the Central Elections Committee for the Knesset’s first official final results is at least 3% in the October 27, 2026 Israeli legislative election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 7%
- If the combined share of valid votes cast for lists below the 3.25% electoral threshold in the Central Elections Committee for the Knesset’s first official final results is at least 7% in the October 27, 2026 Israeli legislative election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 10%
- If the combined share of valid votes cast for lists below the 3.25% electoral threshold in the Central Elections Committee for the Knesset’s first official final results is at least 10% in the October 27, 2026 Israeli legislative election, then the market resolves to Yes.