KalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatório2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoProbabilidade implícita atual
Democratic party 86.6%+63.0ptAjustado pela margem: as cotações brutas somavam mais de 100% e foram normalizadas.
Qualidade do mercado
66 / 100
Qualidade médiaVolume 24h
30,3 mil €
Liquidez
18,7 mil €
Liquidez médiaCompra / Venda
85.0% / 90.9%
Spread
5.9 pt
Spread amploDados do mercado
Atualizado há 11 minutos
14/10/25, 14:003/11/27, 15:00
Tendências
Regras
If the House member sworn in for MO-05 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida via:Library of Congress
- This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner.
- See full rules for details.
Mercados abertos
Politics
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance-3.0pt50%
- Marco Rubio17%
- Ron DeSantis3%
+39 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 600,3 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 2,9 mi
POLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-1.6pt24%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez+0.7pt13%
- Jon Ossoff11%
+49 mais resultados
POLYMARKETDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez20%
- Jon Ossoff16%
- Gavin Newsom14%
+48 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 1,1 bi
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-1.0pt53.4%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+2.9pt42.7%
- Renan Santos-0.6pt1.9%
+16 mais resultados
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen-0.5pt36.8%
- Édouard Philippe29.5%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon14.7%
+38 mais resultados
- Volume total
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff16.8%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez15.8%
- Gavin Newsom12.9%
+45 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 181 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 390,2 mil
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de MO-05 House winner??
- A Kalshi cota Democratic party em 87% em 4 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando MO-05 House winner? é resolvido?
- MO-05 House winner? deverá ser resolvido em 3 de novembro de 2027.
- Como MO-05 House winner? é liquidado?
- A Kalshi liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: If the House member sworn in for MO-05 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.