KalshiFechadoVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatório2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosCalibração aproximadaEste mercado foi resolvido: Before Jul 16, 2026 (99%)
Resolvido: 14 de jul. de 2026, 15:15
Resolução verificada pelo provedor
A CoinRithm tem evidência do provedor para o vencedor e o horário de liquidação deste mercado.
Proveniência da liquidação
- Resultado vigente
- Before Jul 16, 2026
- Registado
- 16 de jul. de 2026, 07:39
- Observações
- 1
- Revisões
- 0
- Método
- resolution_watch
Probabilidade implícita atualBefore Jan 1, 2027 100%Líder entre 7 opções
Qualidade do mercado
49 / 100
Baixa qualidadeVolume 24h
907,3 €
Liquidez
242,8 mil €
Alta liquidezCompra / Venda
99.0% / 100.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Spread apertadoDados do mercado
Atualizado há 13 dias
Desatualizado24/06/26, 17:0016/07/26, 3:59
Linha do Tempo de Probabilidade
Before Jun 28, 20261%
Before Jul 4, 20261%
Before Jan 1, 2027100%
Before Aug 1, 202699%
Before Jul 16, 202699%
99%
1%
5%
1%
3%
99%
Este mercado fechou. O trading simulado só está disponível em mercados abertos.
Comparar plataformas· Before Jan 1, 2027
Classificado por qualidade de mercado, depois liquidez e volume de 24h| Plataforma | Qualidade | Probabilidade | vs. referência | Volume 24h | Liquidez | Atualização | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KalshiEsta páginaMelhor no geral | Baixa | 100% | — | 907,3 € | 242,8 mil € | há 13 dias | |
 Manifold Markets75% de correspondência · auto | — | 98% | — | — | — | há 16 dias | Abrir → |
Também disponível em Manifold Markets
By what date will the 21st Century Road to Housing Act become law?
5m
+6.1pt97.9%
+6.9pt97.8%
+6.5pt97.8%
+4 mais resultados
Previsão da comunidade6 previsoresTipo: multiple choice
MANIFOLD MARKETSRegras
If a bill becomes law that imposes an excise tax on investment firm ownership of single-family homes (including if the tax is only imposed on newly bought homes) or bans investment firms from owning single-family homes outright (or which bans buying new homes) before Jun 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- An example of such a bill is here.
- Such legislation can have an assets under management or net value requirement for the funds and still be included within the Payout Criterion (e.g. it only applies to funds with assets under management of at least $50 million).
- Such legislation may also only tax certain assets, e.g. only second and third homes but not first owned by a firm.
- Clarification: A bill satisfies the Payout Criterion if it establishes a baseline prohibition or tax on institutional investors buying single-family homes, regardless of specific statutory carve-outs, asset exemptions, or firm-size thresholds.
- For example, the May 14 House-amended version of the 21st Century ROAD to Housing Act qualifies because it explicitly bans these purchases, and the inclusion of various transaction exceptions (such as build-to-rent programs) does not disqualify it.
Os dados de comparação são apenas informativos. Preços e liquidez podem variar.
Grandes negociações
$5.0k99.9%KALSHIBefore Jan 1, 2027 — Yeshá 17 dias
KALSHIBefore Jan 1, 2027 — Yeshá 17 dias$1.3k99.9%KALSHIBefore Jan 1, 2027 — Yeshá 17 dias
KALSHIBefore Jan 1, 2027 — Yeshá 17 dias$4.8k98.0%KALSHIBefore Jul 16, 2026 — Yeshá 19 dias
KALSHIBefore Jul 16, 2026 — Yeshá 19 dias$2.9k98.0%KALSHIBefore Jul 7, 2026 — Nohá 22 dias
KALSHIBefore Jul 7, 2026 — Nohá 22 diasTendência de volume
$1.0k2 de jul.13d de dados14 de jul.
Mercados Relacionados
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?
46,9 mil €Sim: 37%
POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Will the cap on gambling loss reduction be repealed?
452,9 €Before 2027: 20%KALSHI
KALSHIWill the federal government ban the sale or making of cultured meat throughout US by the end of 2028?
439,7 €Sim: 9.5%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS
Will the SAVE Act become law?
429,1 €SAVE Act becomes law?: 7.5%
GEMINI
GEMINI
How many Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?
257,9 €Above 66: 13%KALSHI
KALSHIWill members of Congress be banned from trading stocks before 2027?
101,2 €Sim: 22.5%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSAtivos nestes tópicos
Notícias Relacionadas
CFTC Flags ‘Cookie-Cutter’ Self-Certification in Prediction MarketsBlockchain Reporter
HashKey MENA Secures VARA Approval for Crypto Derivatives as Regulated Futures Market GrowsBlockchain Reporter
White House pushes Senate Democrats to take 'historic' crypto Clarity Act ethics dealCoindesk
Senate nears bipartisan CLARITY Act deal after ethics breakthroughCrypto News
Russia passes landmark crypto bill allowing regulated retail tradingThe Block
White House agrees to ethics provisions in market structure billCointelegraphRegras
If a bill becomes law that imposes an excise tax on investment firm ownership of single-family homes (including if the tax is only imposed on newly bought homes) or bans investment firms from owning single-family homes outright (or which bans buying new homes) before Jun 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- An example of such a bill is here.
- Such legislation can have an assets under management or net value requirement for the funds and still be included within the Payout Criterion (e.g. it only applies to funds with assets under management of at least $50 million).
- Such legislation may also only tax certain assets, e.g. only second and third homes but not first owned by a firm.
- Clarification: A bill satisfies the Payout Criterion if it establishes a baseline prohibition or tax on institutional investors buying single-family homes, regardless of specific statutory carve-outs, asset exemptions, or firm-size thresholds.
- For example, the May 14 House-amended version of the 21st Century ROAD to Housing Act qualifies because it explicitly bans these purchases, and the inclusion of various transaction exceptions (such as build-to-rent programs) does not disqualify it.