KalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatório2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoAviso de qualidade dos dadosSem cotações ao vivo
Dados de 8 de set. de 2026, 22:40 UTC · política pm-quality-3
Probabilidade implícita atual
Before Jan 1, 2027 34%
Qualidade do mercado
34 / 100
Baixa qualidadeVolume 24h
—
Liquidez
1,7 mil €
Baixa liquidezCompra / Venda
30.0% / 38.0%
Spread
8.0 pt
Spread amploDados do mercado
Atualizado há 2 minutos
5/09/26, 02:30 UTC1/01/27, 04:59 UTC
Tendências
0%
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If all 27 EU member states agree to or announce the final agreed terms of the overall political agreement on the 2028-2034 EU long-term budget (MFF), as officially declared by the European Council to have been reached by all 27 EU member states the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida via:European Council
- The European Council must officially declare that all 27 EU member states have reached political agreement on the overall 2028-2034 MFF terms.
- A commitment or timetable to reach agreement later, a negotiating box, a partial or sectoral mandate, or a package leaving MFF-level terms unresolved does not qualify.
- European Parliament consent, formal legislative adoption, and entry into force are not required.
- An agreement or announcement qualifies if it involves any of the following:
- Formal commitment by the head of state/government with constitutional authority Official statements by authorized ministers Official press releases Formal declarations during government proceedings Official statements to international bodies
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de When will the EU reach a long-term budget deal??
- A Kalshi cota Before Jan 1, 2027 em 34% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando When will the EU reach a long-term budget deal? é resolvido?
- When will the EU reach a long-term budget deal? deverá ser resolvido em 1 de janeiro de 2027.
- Como When will the EU reach a long-term budget deal? é liquidado?
- A Kalshi liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: If all 27 EU member states agree to or announce the final agreed terms of the overall political agreement on the 2028-2034 EU long-term budget (MFF), as officially declared by the European Council to have been reached by all 27 EU member states the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.