KalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatórioDados de resolução verificadosBem calibradoPonto médio do livro selecionado
Before Sep 1, 2027 · —
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Preço registado
Before Sep 1, 2027 76%Líder entre 4 opções
Before Sep 1, 2027 76%Qualidade do mercado
36 / 100
Baixa qualidadeVolume 24h
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Contratos em aberto
1,8 mil US$
Contratos em aberto: baixoCompra / Venda
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Before Sep 1, 2027Spread
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Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 9 minutos
5/09/26, 02:30 UTC1/01/27, 04:59 UTC
O gráfico e as variações mostram probabilidades históricas guardadas, não o livro selecionado em tempo real.
Tendências
Linha selecionada: ponto médio do livro. Outras linhas: referências guardadas, possivelmente normalizadas; as variações de 24h usam o histórico guardado.
Condições da plataforma
Fonte: Kalshi
Estas condições são informativas; as operações simuladas da CoinRithm seguem regras próprias.
- Encerramento antecipado:
- Sim
- Prazo de liquidação:
- 30m (informativo)
Profundidade de mercado · Before Sep 1, 2027
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Manifold MarketsRegras
If all 27 EU member states agree to or announce the final agreed terms of the overall political agreement on the 2028-2034 EU long-term budget (MFF), as officially declared by the European Council to have been reached by all 27 EU member states before Sep 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida via:European Council
- The European Council must officially declare that all 27 EU member states have reached political agreement on the overall 2028-2034 MFF terms. A commitment or timetable to reach agreement later, a negotiating box, a partial or sectoral mandate, or a package leaving MFF-level terms unresolved does not qualify. European Parliament consent, formal legislative adoption, and entry into force are not required. An agreement or announcement qualifies if it involves any of the following: Formal commitment by the head of state/government with constitutional authority Official statements by authorized ministers Official press releases Formal declarations during government proceedings Official statements to international bodies Phased implementation announcements and multi-party agreements where all 27 EU member states are signatories also qualify. The following do NOT qualify: Preliminary discussions Conditional agreements contingent on circumstances Opposition party statements Leaked documents Think-tank recommendations General aspirations without specific commitment Draft legislation without approval Regional actions (unless specified) Retraction of previously announced commitments
Regras de cada resultado
- Before Sep 1, 2027
- If all 27 EU member states agree to or announce the final agreed terms of the overall political agreement on the 2028-2034 EU long-term budget (MFF), as officially declared by the European Council to have been reached by all 27 EU member states before Sep 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Jul 1, 2027
- If all 27 EU member states agree to or announce the final agreed terms of the overall political agreement on the 2028-2034 EU long-term budget (MFF), as officially declared by the European Council to have been reached by all 27 EU member states before Jul 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Apr 1, 2027
- If all 27 EU member states agree to or announce the final agreed terms of the overall political agreement on the 2028-2034 EU long-term budget (MFF), as officially declared by the European Council to have been reached by all 27 EU member states before Apr 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Jan 1, 2027
- If all 27 EU member states agree to or announce the final agreed terms of the overall political agreement on the 2028-2034 EU long-term budget (MFF), as officially declared by the European Council to have been reached by all 27 EU member states before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.