KalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatório2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosCalibração aproximadaProbabilidade implícita atualBefore September 1, 2026 5%-1.2ptLíder entre 4 opções
Qualidade do mercado
72 / 100
Qualidade médiaVolume 24h
721,9 €
Liquidez
256,3 mil €
Alta liquidezCompra / Venda
1.0% / 2.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Spread apertadoDados do mercado
Atualizado há 20 minutos
12/05/26, 20:001/08/26, 14:00
Tendências
0%
Apenas fundos simulados, sem dinheiro realIsto não é aconselhamento financeiro
Resultado escolhido
Before August 1, 20262%
Comparar plataformas· Before September 1, 2026
Classificado por qualidade de mercado, depois liquidez e volume de 24h| Plataforma | Qualidade | Probabilidade | vs. referência | Volume 24h | Liquidez | Atualização | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KalshiEsta páginaMelhor no geral | Média | 5% | — | 721,9 € | 256,3 mil € | há 20 minutos | |
 Polymarket80% de correspondência · verificado | Média | 30% | — | 569,8 € | 14,7 mil € | há 20 minutos | Abrir → |
Também disponível em Polymarket
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by which date?
0.5 ptsFechados
-0.5pt30%
-0.2pt0%
0%
62 • Qualidade médiaSpread moderadoLiquidez médiaAlta ambiguidade
Volume total1,8 M €
Volume 24h569,8 €
POLYMARKETRegras
If Miguel Díaz-Canel leaves office before June 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- An announcement that the Miguel Díaz-Canel will leave the office within the next year is also encompassed by the Payout Criterion.
- If Miguel Díaz-Canel leaves solely because they have died, the associated market will resolve and the Exchange will determine the payouts to the holders of long and short positions based upon the last traded price (prior to the death).
- If a last traded price is not available or is not logically consistent, or if the Exchange determines at its sole discretion that the last traded prices prior to death do not represent a fair settlement value, the Outcome Review Committee will be responsible for making a binding determination of fair allocation.
- Clarification (05/23/26): To clarify, Miguel Díaz-Canel currently holds two positions relevant to this market: First Secretary of the Communist Party of Cuba and President of Cuba.
- For purposes of this contract, departure from either position will satisfy the Payout Criterion.
Os dados de comparação são apenas informativos. Preços e liquidez podem variar.
Tendência de volume
$8222 de jul.26d de dados27 de jul.
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If Miguel Díaz-Canel leaves office before June 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- An announcement that the Miguel Díaz-Canel will leave the office within the next year is also encompassed by the Payout Criterion.
- If Miguel Díaz-Canel leaves solely because they have died, the associated market will resolve and the Exchange will determine the payouts to the holders of long and short positions based upon the last traded price (prior to the death).
- If a last traded price is not available or is not logically consistent, or if the Exchange determines at its sole discretion that the last traded prices prior to death do not represent a fair settlement value, the Outcome Review Committee will be responsible for making a binding determination of fair allocation.
- Clarification (05/23/26): To clarify, Miguel Díaz-Canel currently holds two positions relevant to this market: First Secretary of the Communist Party of Cuba and President of Cuba.
- For purposes of this contract, departure from either position will satisfy the Payout Criterion.