KalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatórioDados de resolução verificadosBem calibradoPonto médio do livro selecionado
Before Jan 1, 2028 · —
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Preço registado
Before Jan 1, 2028 30%Líder entre 3 opções
Before Jan 1, 2028 30%Qualidade do mercado
29 / 100
Baixa qualidadeVolume 24h
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Contratos em aberto
26 US$
Contratos em aberto: baixoCompra / Venda
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Before Jan 1, 2028Spread
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Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 36 minutos
22/10/26, 23:45 UTC1/01/27, 04:59 UTC
O gráfico e as variações mostram probabilidades históricas guardadas, não o livro selecionado em tempo real.
Tendências
Linha selecionada: ponto médio do livro. Outras linhas: referências guardadas, possivelmente normalizadas; as variações de 24h usam o histórico guardado.
Condições da plataforma
Fonte: Kalshi
Estas condições são informativas; as operações simuladas da CoinRithm seguem regras próprias.
- Encerramento antecipado:
- Sim
- Prazo de liquidação:
- 30m (informativo)
Profundidade de mercado · Before Jan 1, 2028
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KalshiRegras
If Danielle Smith of the United Conservative Party has resigned or otherwise left their position as leader of their party, or announced that they will do so before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida via:United Conservative PartyReutersthe Associated PressBloomberg NewsThe New York TimesPolitico
- The market resolves to Yes if the party leader resigns, is removed, or announces they will resign from party leadership. An announcement that the leader will leave within the next year counts even before it takes effect. This includes voluntary resignation, losing a leadership election, being ousted by the party, or any other mechanism that ends their party leadership. A leadership review or special general meeting vote does not by itself resolve the market; it counts only if the leader then resigns, is removed, or it is announced that they will leave. Temporarily stepping aside or taking leave while remaining leader does not qualify. The market is about party leadership positions, not government positions - a leader can resign from government while remaining party leader or vice versa.
Regras de cada resultado
- Before Jan 1, 2028
- If Danielle Smith of the United Conservative Party has resigned or otherwise left their position as leader of their party, or announced that they will do so before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Jul 1, 2027
- If Danielle Smith of the United Conservative Party has resigned or otherwise left their position as leader of their party, or announced that they will do so before Jul 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Jan 1, 2027
- If Danielle Smith of the United Conservative Party has resigned or otherwise left their position as leader of their party, or announced that they will do so before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.