Probabilidade implícita atual
Above -0.1% 86%-1.0%Líder entre 10 opções
Qualidade do mercado
89 / 100
Alta qualidadeVolume 24h
4,9 mil €
Liquidez
164 mil €
Alta liquidezCompra / Venda
84.0% / 87.0%
Spread
3.6%
Spread moderadoDados do mercado
Atualizado há 15 minutos
20/02/26, 15:0012/08/26, 12:25
Tendências
Apenas fundos simulados, sem dinheiro realIsto não é aconselhamento financeiro
Resultado escolhido
Above -0.1%86%
Grandes negociações
$1.5k73.0%
KALSHIAbove 0.1% — Noanteontem
KALSHIAbove 0.1% — Noanteontem$1.9k93.0%KALSHIAbove 0.2% — Noanteontem
KALSHIAbove 0.2% — Noanteontem$1.5k73.0%KALSHIAbove 0.1% — Noanteontem
KALSHIAbove 0.1% — Noanteontem$1.3k65.0%KALSHIAbove 0.0% — Yeshá 8 dias
KALSHIAbove 0.0% — Yeshá 8 dias$1.8k92.0%KALSHIAbove 0.3% — Nohá 10 dias
KALSHIAbove 0.3% — Nohá 10 dias$1.9k94.0%KALSHIAbove -0.2% — Yeshá 10 dias
KALSHIAbove -0.2% — Yeshá 10 dias$2.0k98.0%KALSHIAbove 0.5% — Nohá 10 dias
KALSHIAbove 0.5% — Nohá 10 dias$1.9k94.0%KALSHIAbove 0.4% — Nohá 11 dias
KALSHIAbove 0.4% — Nohá 11 diasTendência de volume
$5.6k2 de jul.25d de dados26 de jul.
Ativos Sensíveis ao Macro
Mercados Relacionados
CPI in September
73,8 €Above 0.3%: 43%KALSHI
KALSHICPI in August
46,6 €Above 0.2%: 44%KALSHI
KALSHICPI in November
0 €Above -0.1%: 90%KALSHI
KALSHI
Will Oregon reach D4 (Exceptional Drought) by August 31, 2026?
70,3 €Sim: 53%
POLYMARKET
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Will Virginia reach D4 (Exceptional Drought) by August 31, 2026?
26,4 €Sim: 9%POLYMARKET
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How many jobs added in July?
0 €50k – 100k: 33%POLYMARKET
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If the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increases by more than -0.4% (single-decimal) in July 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The market will always close at 8:25 AM ET on the scheduled day of the data release (August 12, 2026).
- Please note: the Expiration Value is the single-decimal value published at the Source Agency.
- In the case of a delay in data caused by a federal government shutdown impacting the reliability of the Source Agency, the market’s latest Expiration Date will be extended to the sooner of the release of the Underlying or six months after the end of the government shutdown.
- If the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increases by more than -0.3% (single-decimal) in July 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increases by more than -0.2% (single-decimal) in July 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.