KalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatório2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoAviso de qualidade dos dadosSem preço significativo
Dados de 10 de set. de 2026, 20:00 UTC · política pm-quality-3
Probabilidade implícita atual
Não 100%
Qualidade do mercado
39 / 100
Baixa qualidadeVolume 24h
—
Liquidez
—
Liquidez desconhecidaCompra / Venda
65.0% / 72.0%
Spread
7.0 pt
Spread amploDados do mercado
Atualizado há 7 minutos
4/08/26, 18:34 UTC1/01/27, 04:59 UTC
Tendências
100%
0%
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
How many states will adopt data center moratoriums in 2026?
KalshiWill another state enact a data center moratorium in 2026?
KalshiWill the AI Data Center Moratorium Act (S.4214) pass Congress by end of the 119th Congress?
Manifold MarketsWill Meta's reported 2026 full-year AI/data-center capex be at least $130B?
Manifold MarketsWill Russia announce completion of an AI data center with >10,000 AI accelerators (GPUs/TPUs) before 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill data center legislation (GRID Act) be enacted in 2026?
PredictItRegras
If the Federal Communications Commission announces a decision to generally bar new models of data-center optical transceivers produced in China or by Chinese-controlled entities from U.S. equipment authorization, importation, or marketing before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida via:Federal Communications Commission
Mercados abertos
China
POLYMARKETWill Xi Jinping visit US by which date?
- December 31-0.3pt98%
- October 31-2.2pt96%
- September 30-1.4pt94%
+3 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 969,8 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 43,9 mil
POLYMARKETWill China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?
- No89.1%
- Yes10.9%
- Volume total
- € 2,7 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 27,8 mil
POLYMARKETWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
- No96%
- Yes4%
- Volume total
- € 35,4 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 23,3 mil
POLYMARKETPuerto Rico/China vs. France
- France+15.9pt100%
- Puerto Rico/China-15.9pt0%
- Volume total
- € 23 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 22,9 mil
POLYMARKETXi Jinping out before 2027?
- No+0.1pt96%
- Yes-0.1pt4%
- Volume total
- € 11,3 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 20,6 mil
POLYMARKETHighest temperature in Beijing on September 11?
- 32°C+24.5pt49.5%
- 31°C-16.5pt37.1%
- 30°C-5.5pt5.7%
+8 mais resultados
- Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
- Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?
- China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?
- Second-Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
- 2026 Taiwanese Local Elections: Party Winner
- Highest temperature in Beijing on September 12?
- Hsinchu County Magistrate Election Winner
- Top Chinese AI Company week of September 7th
- Third-Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will the FCC ban new Chinese data center transceivers this year??
- A Kalshi cota No em 100% em 10 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will the FCC ban new Chinese data center transceivers this year? é resolvido?
- Will the FCC ban new Chinese data center transceivers this year? deverá ser resolvido em 1 de janeiro de 2027.
- Como Will the FCC ban new Chinese data center transceivers this year? é liquidado?
- A Kalshi liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: If the Federal Communications Commission announces a decision to generally bar new models of data-center optical transceivers produced in China or by Chinese-controlled entities from U.S. equipment authorization, importation, or marketing before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.