KalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatório2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoProbabilidade implícita atual
Alibaba 81.9%-1.0ptLíder entre 9 opçõesAjustado pela margem: as cotações brutas somavam mais de 100% e foram normalizadas.
Qualidade do mercado
63 / 100
Qualidade médiaVolume 24h
2,1 mil €
Liquidez
19,7 mil €
Liquidez médiaSpread
2.0 pt
Spread moderadoDados do mercado
Atualizado há 11 minutos
3/08/26, 15:3031/08/26, 14:00
Tendências
Regras
If Moonshot is the Highest Ranked Chinese AI Company model on Arena AI Text Score (Remove Style Control) on Aug 31, 2026 at 10:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:LM Arena Leaderboard (Remove Style Control)
- Qualifying Chinese AI companies are defined as a company whose global or primary operational headquarters is located in mainland China.
- Tied rankings shall be resolved using the publisher's official tie-breaking methodology; if none exists, all tied entities share the highest rank among them.
- If multiple candidates are tied for a given rank, then their Contracts will resolve to $1/(the number of candidates tied), rounded down.
- Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League.
- All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
Mercados abertos
China
POLYMARKETXi Jinping out before 2027?
- No-0.1pt95%
- Yes+0.1pt5%
- Volume total
- € 10,9 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 42 mil
POLYMARKETWhere will Tropical Storm Saudel make landfall?
- China+4.0pt95%
- Japan+1.6pt33%
- South Korea+2.5pt8%
POLYMARKETBest Chinese AI Company end of August?
- Alibaba+0.7pt95%
- Z.ai+0.3pt4%
- Moonshot-0.6pt1%
+8 mais resultados
POLYMARKETWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
- No-0.1pt96%
- Yes+0.1pt4%
- Volume total
- € 34,3 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 20,3 mil
POLYMARKETHighest temperature in Beijing on August 26?
- 26°C-1.0pt21%
- 24°C+2.5pt20%
- 25°C-6.0pt20%
+8 mais resultados
POLYMARKETBest Chinese AI Company end of September?
- Alibaba66.3%
- Z.ai+7.0pt17.8%
- Moonshot-4.5pt8.9%
+8 mais resultados
- Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?
- Second-Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
- Who will be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?
- Will Xi Jinping visit US by which date?
- Highest temperature in Beijing on August 27?
- China x Philippines military clash before 2027?
- Second-Best Chinese AI Company end of August?
- Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?
- US x China tariff agreement by December 31?
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Top Chinese AI Company this month?
- A Kalshi cota Alibaba em 82% em 26 de agosto de 2026.
- Quando Top Chinese AI Company this month é resolvido?
- Top Chinese AI Company this month deverá ser resolvido em 31 de agosto de 2026.
- Como Top Chinese AI Company this month é liquidado?
- A Kalshi liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: If Moonshot is the Highest Ranked Chinese AI Company model on Arena AI Text Score (Remove Style Control) on Aug 31, 2026 at 10:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes.