KalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatório2% de taxaProbabilidade implícita atualCut 25bps 72%+5.0%Líder entre 7 opções
Qualidade do mercado
71 / 100
Qualidade médiaVolume 24h
127,6 €
Liquidez
10,8 mil €
Liquidez médiaCompra / Venda
72.0% / 73.0%
Spread
1.4%
Spread apertadoDados do mercado
Atualizado há 3 minutos
17/06/26, 23:155/08/26, 21:29
Tendências
Apenas fundos simulados, sem dinheiro realIsto não é aconselhamento financeiro
Resultado escolhido
Cut 25bps72%
Comparar plataformas· Cut 25bps
Ordenado por volume de 24h| Plataforma | Probabilidade | vs. referência | Volume 24h | Liquidez | Atualização | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketMais ativa | 68% | — | 2,2 mil € | 47,6 mil € | há 7 minutos | Abrir → |
| KalshiEsta página | 72% | — | 127,6 € | 10,8 mil € | há 3 minutos |
Também disponível em Polymarket
Bank of Brazil decision in August?
2.5%26d
-2.5%68%
+1.1%29%
-0.3%2%
+2 mais resultados
80 • Alta qualidadeSpread moderadoAlta liquidezAlta ambiguidade
Volume total97,4 mil €
Volume 24h2,2 mil €
POLYMARKETRegras
If the Central Bank of Brazil takes the action of Cut more than 50bp at August Monetary Policy Meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The market resolves based on the official policy rate decision announced by the central bank.
- For central banks with multiple policy rates, only changes to the primary policy rate count.
- If the meeting is cancelled or delayed past the expiration date, markets for "No change" resolve to Yes and all others resolve to No.
- Emergency rate changes between scheduled meetings do not affect resolution of contracts tied to scheduled meetings.
- The specific basis point ranges are inclusive (e.g., "25-50bp" includes both 25bp and 50bp changes).
Os dados de comparação são apenas informativos. Preços e liquidez podem variar.
Tendência de volume
$1462 de jul.7d de dados8 de jul.
Mercados Relacionados
Bank of Brazil decision in September?
324,3 €No Change: 55%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Bank of England decision in September?
7,4 mil €No change: 78%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKETBank of England decision in July?
3,1 mil €No change: 98%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Bank of Japan rate decision in July
2 mil €Hike more than 25bps: 3%KALSHI
KALSHI
European Central Bank rate decision in July
1,2 mil €Cut 1-25bps: 1%KALSHI
KALSHI
Reserve Bank of India rate decision in August
630,2 €Maintain current rate: 68%KALSHI
KALSHIAtivos nestes tópicos
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If the Central Bank of Brazil takes the action of Cut more than 50bp at August Monetary Policy Meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The market resolves based on the official policy rate decision announced by the central bank.
- For central banks with multiple policy rates, only changes to the primary policy rate count.
- If the meeting is cancelled or delayed past the expiration date, markets for "No change" resolve to Yes and all others resolve to No.
- Emergency rate changes between scheduled meetings do not affect resolution of contracts tied to scheduled meetings.
- The specific basis point ranges are inclusive (e.g., "25-50bp" includes both 25bp and 50bp changes).