KalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatório2% de taxaProbabilidade implícita atualHike more than 25bps 3%-1.0%Líder entre 5 opções
Qualidade do mercado
64 / 100
Qualidade médiaVolume 24h
2 mil €
Liquidez
24,4 mil €
Alta liquidezCompra / Venda
1.0% / 3.0%
Spread
200.0%
Spread amploDados do mercado
Atualizado há 2 minutos
16/06/26, 20:0031/07/26, 2:29
Tendências
Apenas fundos simulados, sem dinheiro realIsto não é aconselhamento financeiro
Resultado escolhido
Hike more than 25bps3%
Comparar plataformas· Maintain current rate
Ordenado por volume de 24h| Plataforma | Probabilidade | vs. referência | Volume 24h | Liquidez | Atualização | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketMais ativa | 98% | — | 2,5 mil € | 84,8 mil € | há 6 minutos | Abrir → |
| KalshiEsta página | 91% | — | 2 mil € | 24,4 mil € | há 2 minutos |
Também disponível em Polymarket
Bank of Japan Decision in July?
1.2%22d
+1.2%98%
+0.1%1%
-0.8%1%
+2 mais resultados
91 • Alta qualidadeSpread apertadoAlta liquidezPerto da resolução
Volume total93,8 mil €
Volume 24h2,5 mil €
POLYMARKETRegras
If the Bank of Japan takes the action of Cut more than 25bps at July 2026 Monetary Policy Meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The market resolves based on the official policy rate decision announced by the central bank.
- For central banks with multiple policy rates, only changes to the primary policy rate count.
- If the meeting is cancelled or delayed past the expiration date, markets for "No change" resolve to Yes and all others resolve to No.
- Emergency rate changes between scheduled meetings do not affect resolution of contracts tied to scheduled meetings.
- The specific basis point ranges are inclusive (e.g., "25-50bp" includes both 25bp and 50bp changes).
Os dados de comparação são apenas informativos. Preços e liquidez podem variar.
Tendência de volume
$2.3k2 de jul.7d de dados8 de jul.
Mercados Relacionados
Bank of England decision in September?
7,4 mil €No change: 78%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKETBank of England decision in July?
3,1 mil €No change: 98%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Reserve Bank of India decision in August
1,3 mil €No Change: 71%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
European Central Bank rate decision in July
1,2 mil €Cut 1-25bps: 1%KALSHI
KALSHI
Reserve Bank of India rate decision in August
630,2 €Maintain current rate: 68%KALSHI
KALSHI
Bank of England rate decision in July
198,4 €Cut 1-25bps: 1%KALSHI
KALSHIAtivos nestes tópicos
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If the Bank of Japan takes the action of Cut more than 25bps at July 2026 Monetary Policy Meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The market resolves based on the official policy rate decision announced by the central bank.
- For central banks with multiple policy rates, only changes to the primary policy rate count.
- If the meeting is cancelled or delayed past the expiration date, markets for "No change" resolve to Yes and all others resolve to No.
- Emergency rate changes between scheduled meetings do not affect resolution of contracts tied to scheduled meetings.
- The specific basis point ranges are inclusive (e.g., "25-50bp" includes both 25bp and 50bp changes).