PolymarketVerificar disponibilidadeSem KYC2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoProbabilidade implícita atual25 bps decrease 80%+0.5%Líder entre 5 opções
Qualidade do mercado
80 / 100
Alta qualidadeVolume 24h
2,8 mil €
Liquidez
30,8 mil €
Alta liquidezCompra / Venda
15.6% / 16.7%
Spread
7.0%
Spread moderadoVariação 7d
-1.1%
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 17 minutos
29/04/26, 23:574/08/26, 0:00
Tendências
0%
Apenas fundos simulados, sem dinheiro realIsto não é aconselhamento financeiro
Resultado escolhido
25 bps decrease80%
Comparar plataformas· 25 bps decrease
Classificado por qualidade de mercado, depois liquidez e volume de 24h| Plataforma | Qualidade | Probabilidade | vs. referência | Volume 24h | Liquidez | Atualização | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PolymarketEsta páginaMelhor no geral | Alta | 80% | — | 2,8 mil € | 30,8 mil € | há 17 minutos | |
 Kalshi85% de correspondência · auto | Alta | 81% | — | 1,1 mil € | 15,7 mil € | há 17 minutos | Abrir → |
Também disponível em Kalshi
Central Bank of Brazil rate decision in August
6.0%10d
-6.0%81%
-3.0%16%
1%
+4 mais resultados
79 • Alta qualidadeSpread apertadoLiquidez média
Volume total23,8 mil €
Volume 24h1,1 mil €
KALSHIRegras
This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the target for the Selic rate resulting from the August 2026 meeting of the Bank of Brazil’s Monetary Policy Committee (COPOM), relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
- The resolution source will be official information from the Bank of Brazil, including the statement or release from its August 2026 Monetary Policy Committee meeting, scheduled for August 3-4, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Brazil calendar (https://www.bcb.gov.br/en/about/bcb-calendar?categoria=Monetary%20Policy%20Committee%20(Copom)).
- This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the the Bank of Brazil's August 2026 Monetary Policy Committee meeting with relevant data is issued.
- If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
- If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines.
- Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps).
Os dados de comparação são apenas informativos. Preços e liquidez podem variar.
Tendência de volume
$3.1k2 de jul.25d de dados26 de jul.
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This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the target for the Selic rate resulting from the August 2026 meeting of the Bank of Brazil’s Monetary Policy Committee (COPOM), relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
- The resolution source will be official information from the Bank of Brazil, including the statement or release from its August 2026 Monetary Policy Committee meeting, scheduled for August 3-4, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Brazil calendar (https://www.bcb.gov.br/en/about/bcb-calendar?categoria=Monetary%20Policy%20Committee%20(Copom)).
- This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the the Bank of Brazil's August 2026 Monetary Policy Committee meeting with relevant data is issued.
- If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
- If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines.
- Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps).